Heat vs Mavericks Prediction and NBA Tips - 11 April 2024
Last updated: Apr 10, 2024, 11:37PM | Published: Apr 10, 2024, 1:58AM
The Miami Heat will face the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Thursday, starting at 9:30am AEST.
Led by the likes of Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo, the Heat are aiming to beat a Mavericks side that includes Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and P.J. Washington.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Heat vs Mavericks game, as well as the latest betting odds and player props, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Heat vs Mavericks
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Miami-Dallas NBA match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Mavericks a 56% chance of defeating the Heat at Kaseya Center.
More: Heat vs Mavericks Match Centre
Heat vs Mavericks: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Thursday's NBA game at Kaseya Center are listed below:
- Head to Head: Heat $2.22, Mavericks $1.81
- Line: Heat +2.5 ($1.95), Mavericks -2.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 216.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $1.94
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Heat at $2.22 and the Mavericks at $1.81.
The Heat are listed as 2.5-point underdogs against the Mavericks, with odds of $1.95 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Mavericks (-2.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 216.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $1.94.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Heat (+2.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the 216.5-point Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Heat vs Mavericks: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Dallas at $1.81 with Betfair (56% probability)
- Line: Heat +2.5 at $1.95 with Betfair (52% probability)
- Total Points: Over 216.5 at $1.95 with Betfair (50% probability)
Our Heat vs Mavericks best bets are based on market-leading simulations and wagering experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Heat vs Mavericks: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Heat vs Mavericks at Kaseya Center on Thursday has the Mavericks winning 110-108.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Miami vs Dallas on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Heat vs Mavericks: Player Props
Player props are a great way to bet on Heat vs Mavericks without necessarily betting on the outcome of Thursday's game itself.
Stats Insider uses the best information available to project individual points, assists and rebounds for each team.
Jimmy Butler is expected to lead the way for the Heat with 23 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists, while Luka Doncic is projected to finish with 34 points, 10 rebounds and 11 assists for the Mavericks.
Heat Projected Box Score
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 23 | 5 | 6 |
| Tyler Herro | 22 | 6 | 5 |
| Bam Adebayo | 19 | 11 | 5 |
| Caleb Martin | 10 | 5 | 3 |
| Nikola Jovic | 10 | 5 | 3 |
Mavericks Projected Box Score
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 34 | 10 | 11 |
| Kyrie Irving | 28 | 6 | 6 |
| P.J. Washington | 13 | 6 | 2 |
| Daniel Gafford | 11 | 7 | 2 |
| Derrick Jones | 9 | 3 | 1 |
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Miami vs Dallas game at Kaseya Center.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NBA game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Heat vs Mavericks: Preview
The NBA game between the Heat and Mavericks at Kaseya Center is scheduled to start at 9:30am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks
- Date: Thursday 11 April 2024
- Time: 9:30am AEST
- Venue: Kaseya Center
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our Miami vs Dallas predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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