Heat vs Pistons Prediction and NBA Tips - 6 March 2024
Last updated: Mar 6, 2024, 12:34AM | Published: Mar 5, 2024, 3:10AM
The Miami Heat will face the Detroit Pistons in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Wednesday, commencing at 11:30am AEDT.
Led by star players Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo and Terry Rozier, the Heat are up against a Pistons team that includes Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey and Simone Fontecchio.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Heat vs Pistons game, plus the latest betting odds and player props, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Heat vs Pistons
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Miami-Detroit NBA game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Heat an 83% chance of winning against the Pistons at Kaseya Center.
More: Heat vs Pistons Simulated 10,000 Times
Heat vs Pistons: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's NBA game at Kaseya Center are listed here:
- Head to Head: Heat $1.18, Pistons $6.20
- Line: Heat -11.5 ($2.06), Pistons +11.5 ($1.87)
- Total (Over/Under 217.5 Points): Over $1.98, Under $1.91
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Heat at $1.18 and the Pistons at $6.20.
The Heat are listed as 11.5-point favourites against the Pistons, with odds of $2.06 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Pistons (+11.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.87.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 217.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.98 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Pistons (+11.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the 217.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Heat vs Pistons: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Detroit at $6.20 with Betfair (1.7% edge)
- Line: Heat -11.5 at $2.06 with Betfair
- Total Points: Over 217.5 at $1.98 with Betfair (51% probability)
These Heat vs Pistons predictions are based on detailed modelling and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
And while the Heat have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pistons to win is our recommended option because of the 1.7% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Although the Pistons are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Heat -11.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Heat vs Pistons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Heat vs Pistons at Kaseya Center this Wednesday has the Heat winning 114-103.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Miami vs Detroit on Wednesday, including pre-game predictions, free tips, and live win probabilities.
Heat vs Pistons: Player Props
Betting on Heat vs Pistons player props? Stats Insider has crunched the numbers to predict individual points, assists and rebounds for each team.
Jimmy Butler is expected to lead the way for the Heat with 23 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists, while Cade Cunningham is projected to finish with 21 points, 4 rebounds and 8 assists for the Pistons.
Heat Projected Box Score
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 23 | 5 | 6 |
| Bam Adebayo | 22 | 11 | 5 |
| Terry Rozier | 22 | 3 | 7 |
| Duncan Robinson | 17 | 3 | 5 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 13 | 4 | 3 |
Pistons Projected Box Score
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | 21 | 4 | 8 |
| Jaden Ivey | 16 | 4 | 4 |
| Simone Fontecchio | 12 | 4 | 2 |
| Jalen Duren | 12 | 11 | 2 |
| Ausar Thompson | 12 | 7 | 2 |
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Miami vs Detroit match-up at Kaseya Center.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NBA game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Heat vs Pistons: Preview
The NBA game between the Heat and Pistons at Kaseya Center is scheduled to commence at 11:30am AEDT on Wednesday.
- Teams: Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons
- Date: Wednesday 6 March 2024
- Time: 11:30am AEDT
- Venue: Kaseya Center
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our Miami vs Detroit predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on NBA
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NBA in Australia, with the latest NBA betting news, predictions for every NBA game, and futures probabilities for the NBA.
