Heat vs Thunder Prediction and NBA Tips - 11 January 2024
Last updated: Jan 11, 2024, 12:40AM | Published: Jan 9, 2024, 10:46PM
The Miami Heat will square off with the Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Thursday, starting at 11:30am AEDT.
Led by star players Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo and Jaime Jaquez, the Heat are looking to overcome a Thunder team that includes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Heat vs Thunder game, plus the latest betting odds and player props, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Heat vs Thunder
Using detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Miami-Oklahoma City NBA game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Thunder a 67% chance of beating the Heat at Kaseya Center.
More: Heat vs Thunder Match Centre
Heat vs Thunder: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Thursday's NBA game at Kaseya Center are listed here:
- Head to Head: Heat $2.66, Thunder $1.58
- Line: Heat +4.5 ($1.98), Thunder -4.5 ($1.96)
- Total (Over/Under 232.5 Points): Over $1.94, Under $2.04
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Heat at $2.66 and the Thunder at $1.58.
The Heat are 4.5-point underdogs against the Thunder, with odds of $1.98 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Thunder (-4.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.96.
The Over/Under for Heat vs Thunder has been set at 232.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.94 and odds for the Under at $2.04.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Thunder (-4.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 232.5 points has a 53% chance of staying Under.
The best site to place a bet on the Heat vs Thunder game is Betfair, where you can bet against other NBA fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Heat vs Thunder: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Oklahoma City at $1.58 with Betfair (67% probability) 🔥
- Line: Thunder -4.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (52% probability)
- Total Points: Under 232.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (53% probability)
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.
These Heat vs Thunder betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and betting experience to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
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Heat vs Thunder: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Heat vs Thunder at Kaseya Center on Thursday has the Thunder winning 118-113.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Miami vs Oklahoma City on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
Heat vs Thunder: Player Props
Player props are an exciting way to bet on Heat vs Thunder without necessarily betting on the outcome of the game itself.
Stats Insider has crunched the numbers to predict key individual stats for each team, such as points, rebounds and assists.
Tyler Herro is expected to lead the Heat with 22 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to finish with 31 points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists for the Thunder.
Heat Projected Box Score
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 22 | 5 | 5 |
| Bam Adebayo | 19 | 11 | 4 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 15 | 4 | 3 |
| Duncan Robinson | 13 | 2 | 3 |
| Josh Richardson | 11 | 3 | 3 |
Thunder Projected Box Score
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31 | 6 | 6 |
| Chet Holmgren | 19 | 7 | 3 |
| Jalen Williams | 17 | 5 | 4 |
| Josh Giddey | 12 | 6 | 5 |
| Luguentz Dort | 11 | 5 | 1 |
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Miami vs Oklahoma City match-up at Kaseya Center.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NBA game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Heat vs Thunder: Preview
The NBA game between the Heat and Thunder at Kaseya Center is scheduled to begin at 11:30am AEDT on Thursday.
- Teams: Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Thursday 11 January 2024
- Time: 11:30am AEDT
- Venue: Kaseya Center
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Miami vs Oklahoma City predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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