In-form Club 20 Punters Looking To Back Up Biggest Ever Win

Fresh off a monster win at the PGA Champs and currently boasting a massive 196.6% POT so far this season, the party is only just getting started at Club 20!

As another Thursday rolls around we’ve identified 10 golfers across the PGA and European Tour that we like, whilst also throwing in some multi’s as well. 

The Stats Insider Golf Tournament Futures page is absent of green smileys this week after impressively hitting 2/4 last week and landing a tidy profit, so we’re forced to go it alone on our bets in Texas and Denmark this afternoon (I mean we could follow the model’s lead and not bet at all and just recount our winnings again, but pffft.)

PGA – Charles Schwab Invitational @ Colonial CC

Colonial is a short Par 70 measuring just over 7200yd with bent greens and the trick to contending here is to do your work on the plethora of small Par 4’s where the two goals are hitting the fairway then sticking your wedge. 

The Par 5 first is almost a gift birdie to start but with only two Par 5’s on course and a suite of lengthy, tough Par 3’s, players really do need to do their work on these Par 4’s. 

This is an Invitational field so over half these guys will make the cut this week (Top 65 and ties from 120 field). 

Weather wise it doesn’t look great this week. Thursday looks fine and the lean would be for early as there will be another 5m/ph winds in the afternoon wave, but conditions should play super soft regardless given the mass amount of rain the course has received this week already, as well as the rain that is lingering around Friday through Sunday. 

Our group of six this week features some random selections, but we have tried to marry up that mix of course form, value, ball striking, putting spike potential and recent form that worked for us last week. 

Going to go hard on these six, taking them in the Outright (ew), First Round Leader (ew) and also in our Top 40 Multi (all 3/4/5 legs and the 6-legger) – that’s 65 bets in total so make sure you are managing/reducing your stakes accordingly and/or just selecting the bet types that you like more. 

Righto, lets get into it, stay with me, some of these guys need a leap of faith!

Charley Hoffman @ 41/10, 41/10

For mine the clear value in the tournament, Hoffman is in near career ball striking form, has great course form and is ranked #15 in this field in our key Par 4 range, not to mention leads the field in Par 3 scoring in that 175-200yd range which is right where all the Par 3’s are placed this week. 

Ryan Palmer @ 67/17.5, 61/15

Home course for Palmer and whilst that can be very inflated and sometimes can lead to a bit of a shocker for that player on his home deck, Palmer has 4 results here of T6 or better so the upside is worth it at this great price coming off a MC at the PGA. Will be well-rested and has jagged a featured group with Sergio and Kisner which is a positive. Palmer knows this course like the back of his hand and is likely to be there person we're all saying 'of course' about as he enters the stretch in contention at great odds. 

Matt Jones @ 76/19, 61/15

We all expected him to fade out after his win at the Honda Classic but he has sustained it, with a T26 and T30 at the Masters and PGA Champs respectively. That T30 last week was despite losing 6.3 shots on approach!!! Every time Jones sprays it that bad he quickly re-corrects so the approach stats don’t worry us too much. His putter is on fire, he is getting off the tee great and perhaps most importantly, he is ranked #1 in the field for Par 4 scoring in the key 350-400yd range and #15 from 75-100yd  which sets up perfectly for no less than seven of the Par 4’s here. 

Harold Varner III @ 81/20, 81/20

Varner is in sneaky good form he just hasn’t put it all together over the last few months. A T49 at the PGA was full of promise tee to green, he just lost the putter (lost almost 4 strokes!) on a surface he doesn’t love. Back to bent I’m expecting an immediate putter bounce back. A T2 at the Heritage a few starts ago where he lost 2 strokes off the tee is also encouraging. T19 here last year in what was a stacked field. Like the odds too, going abit missing on peoples’ radars this week.

Doc Redman @ 111/28 , 81/20

I don’t want to go off too early but Doc could be on the cusp of being back. T9 at the Byron Nelson where everything clicked for him, just missed a few putts down the stretch on his way to a final round 70 to fall back out of the top 5. Gained almost 5 shots on approach here last year to squeak through the cut for a T58, a result that started a great run for him. Loves his long irons and wedges so if he can maintain his off the tee numbers from the last three weeks, he is definitely the kind of player who can start sticking it real close and go on a big run. 

Danny Lee @ 251/62.50, 125/31.50

Bit of a bomb here with D Lee debuting on the Club 20 betting card and before you click away, he is a local to this course and his Colonial form is compelling. 6 made cuts from 7 attempts (missed last year) including two top 10’s and five finishes inside the top 40. Confident we wont see any 4 putts (or 8 putts) from 12 ft from Danny here at a course he knows well and one which will play soft. A T21 at the Valspar two starts ago shows his game is in good touch, but it has been a pretty lean season for Lee so far and he needs to have a result at his home deck to stay in Fed Ex Cup contention.

Euro Tour – Made in Himmerland

We’re in Denmark for the Euro Tour this week, starting about 3:30pm this afternoon. 

This course demands accuracy not length, and by the looks of the forecast it is going to be pretty wild, wet and windy throughout. 

Four-man card this week starting with Aaron Rai who has a T10 and T18 here in two attempts and is as close to a mud runner as you can get in golf with his double glove and Scottish Open win in horrible conditions. 

Jason Scrivener is next off coming off a huge T21 at Kiawah Island where he took out Low Aussie. 

Don’t love that it will be wet for him, but he has played this course three times (two top 25 finishes), is a gun putter, the ball striking is clearly fire and he will be on cloud nine confidence wise after the biggest pay cheque of his career. 

Final two are Connor Syme and Jordan Smith, the Scot and Englishman both thrive in difficult, wet, windy conditions, both have good course form and both coming in under the bookmakers radar for mine. 

Outright (ew) and First Round leader (ew).

  • Aaron Rai @ 46/11.50, 56/14

  • Jason Scrivener @ 46/11.50, 51/12.50

  • Connor Syme @ 71/17.5, 67/16.5

  • Jordan Smith  @ 91/22.50, 81/20

We’re only got 10 golfers here but there are 81 bets on the card when you include the multi’s and each-ways, so be smart about how you attack this week and make sure you are only betting what you enjoy betting. 

A lot of guys will take the Top 40 multi bets only, some like betting the outright’s only, while others prefer to bet the first round leaders then wait and have a look at how the board is looking after the first round. 

You can follow along with our pains and gains on the Club 20 Twitter page.

Good luck!

Hedge

Cruelly denied sporting glory due to recurring shin splint complaints and an aversion to warm-up laps, Hedge now spends his days golfing, fishing the leaves out of the Club 20 pools and identifying value plays in PGA, AFL, AFLW and T20. All you really need to know about him is he's more than comfortable taking 3I off the tee on a Par 5, and more than capable of pulling driver off the deck second shot.

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