Jaguars vs Colts Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2024
Last updated: Oct 6, 2024, 5:01PM | Published: Sep 29, 2024, 11:35PM
The Jacksonville Jaguars will sqaure off with the Indianapolis Colts in NFL Week 5 action at EverBank Stadium on Monday, starting at 4:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Jaguars vs Colts game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Jacksonville vs Indianapolis NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Jaguars a 63% chance of beating the Colts in Week 5 of the NFL season.
Jaguars vs Colts: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at EverBank Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Jaguars $1.48, Colts $2.75
- Line: Jaguars -3.5 ($1.91), Colts +3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 45 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Jaguars at $1.48 and the Colts at $2.75.
The Jaguars are 3.5-point favourites against the Colts, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Colts (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 45 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Jaguars and the Colts have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 45-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Jaguars vs Colts: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Indianapolis at $2.75 with Bet365
- Line: Jaguars -3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 45 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Jaguars have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Colts to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Jaguars vs Colts: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Jaguars vs Colts at EverBank Stadium in Week 5 is the Jaguars winning 24-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Jacksonville vs Indianapolis game in Week 5, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Jaguars vs Colts prediction.
Jaguars vs Colts: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Jaguars vs Colts? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Indianapolis' Trey Sermon is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Jaguars vs Colts.
Sermon has a 10.6% chance of getting in for six first at EverBank Stadium, while the Colts RB has a 44.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Jaguars First TD Tips
- Travis Etienne: 10.2% probability
- Brian Thomas: 8.4% probability
- Christian Kirk: 8.3% probability
- Gabe Davis: 7.3% probability
- Tank Bigsby: 6.1% probability
Colts First TD Tips
- Trey Sermon: 10.6% probability
- Michael Pittman: 9.1% probability
- Josh Downs: 7.1% probability
- Tyler Goodson: 5.4% probability
- Alec Pierce: 4.1% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Jaguars Anytime TD Tips
- Travis Etienne: 43.0% probability
- Brian Thomas: 37.4% probability
- Christian Kirk: 36.9% probability
- Gabe Davis: 32.4% probability
- Tank Bigsby: 28.1% probability
Colts Anytime TD Tips
- Trey Sermon: 44.7% probability
- Michael Pittman: 39.4% probability
- Josh Downs: 31.9% probability
- Tyler Goodson: 24.9% probability
- Alec Pierce: 19.1% probability
Jaguars-Colts Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is projected for 264 passing yards. The Colts' Joe Flacco is expected to throw for 235 yards.
Jaguars Starting QB
- Trevor Lawrence: 264 projected passing yards
Colts Starting QB
- Joe Flacco: 235 projected passing yards
Jaguars Rushing Yards
- Travis Etienne: 50 projected yards
- Tank Bigsby: 32 projected yards
- Trevor Lawrence: 18 projected yards
Colts Rushing Yards
- Trey Sermon: 60 projected yards
- Tyler Goodson: 23 projected yards
- Joe Flacco: 7 projected yards
Jaguars Receiving Yards
- Christian Kirk: 71 projected yards
- Brian Thomas: 54 projected yards
- Gabe Davis: 49 projected yards
- Brenton Strange: 29 projected yards
- Travis Etienne: 28 projected yards
Colts Receiving Yards
- Michael Pittman: 60 projected yards
- Josh Downs: 51 projected yards
- Alec Pierce: 30 projected yards
- Adonai Mitchell: 22 projected yards
- Kylen Granson: 14 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Jacksonville vs Indianapolis match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Jaguars vs Colts: Week 5 Essential Details
The NFL Week 5 game between the Jaguars and Colts at EverBank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts
- Date: Monday 7 October 2024
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: EverBank Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Jacksonville vs Indianapolis predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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