Jaguars vs Falcons Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2023
Last updated: Oct 1, 2023, 1:22PM | Published: Sep 26, 2023, 4:00AM
The Jacksonville Jaguars square off with the Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 4 action at Wembley Stadium on Monday, commencing at 12:30am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Jaguars vs Falcons, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Jaguars vs Falcons
Using detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Jacksonville-Atlanta NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Jaguars a 60% chance of beating the Falcons at Wembley Stadium.
More: Jaguars vs Falcons Match Centre
Jaguars vs Falcons: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Wembley Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Jaguars $1.57, Falcons $2.55
- Line: Jaguars -3.5 ($2.00), Falcons +3.5 ($1.83)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Jaguars at $1.57 and the Falcons at $2.55.
The Jaguars are listed as 3.5-point favourites against the Falcons, with odds of $2.00 currently on offer at PointsBet.
For the underdog Falcons (+3.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.83.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Falcons (+3.5) have a 59% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 42.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Jaguars vs Falcons: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Atlanta at $2.55 with bet365 (2.2% edge)
- Line: Falcons +3.5 at $1.83 with PointsBet (59% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 42.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (50% probability)
Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
Our Jaguars vs Falcons betting tips are based on complex simulations and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Jaguars have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Falcons to win is our preferred option because of the 2.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Jaguars vs Falcons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Jaguars vs Falcons at Wembley Stadium in Week 4 has the Jaguars winning 22-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Jacksonville vs Atlanta in Week 4, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Jaguars vs Falcons: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Jaguars vs Falcons? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first TD in Jaguars vs Falcons.
Robinson has an 11.9% chance of getting in for six first at Wembley Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 45.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Jaguars First TD Tips
- Travis Etienne: 10.4% probability
- Calvin Ridley: 9.6% probability
- Christian Kirk: 8.5% probability
- Trevor Lawrence: 6.9% probability
- Evan Engram: 6.8% probability
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 11.9% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 8.0% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 5.7% probability
- Drake London: 5.7% probability
- Mack Hollins: 4.3% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Jaguars Anytime TD Tips
- Travis Etienne: 41.9% probability
- Calvin Ridley: 38.7% probability
- Christian Kirk: 34.4% probability
- Trevor Lawrence: 28.9% probability
- Evan Engram: 28.9% probability
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 45.8% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 34.2% probability
- Drake London: 26.4% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 26.0% probability
- Mack Hollins: 18.8% probability
Jaguars-Falcons Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is projected for 243 passing yards. The Falcons' Desmond Ridder is expected to throw for 183 yards.
Jaguars Starting QB
- Trevor Lawrence: 243 projected passing yards
Falcons Starting QB
- Desmond Ridder: 183 projected passing yards
Jaguars Rushing Yards
- Travis Etienne: 70 projected yards
- Trevor Lawrence: 19 projected yards
- Tank Bigsby: 18 projected yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 69 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 52 projected yards
- Desmond Ridder: 17 projected yards
Jaguars Receiving Yards
- Calvin Ridley: 63 projected yards
- Christian Kirk: 51 projected yards
- Evan Engram: 45 projected yards
- Tim Jones: 30 projected yards
- Travis Etienne: 25 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 48 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 44 projected yards
- Jonnu Smith: 31 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 28 projected yards
- Mack Hollins: 26 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Jacksonville vs Atlanta game at Wembley Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Jaguars vs Falcons: Week 4 Preview
The NFL Week 4 game between the Jaguars and Falcons at Wembley Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:30am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Monday 2 October 2023
- Time: 12:30am AEDT
- Venue: Wembley Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Jacksonville vs Atlanta are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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