Knights vs Dolphins Prediction and Odds - NRL Round 3, 2023
Mar 12, 2023, 9:31AM
The Knights square off with the Dolphins in NRL Round 3 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday, beginning at 6:00pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Knights vs Dolphins, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who will win? Knights vs Dolphins
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Newcastle-Dolphins NRL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Dolphins a 60% chance of winning against the Knights in Round 3 of the 2023 NRL season.
More: Free Betting Analysis for Knights vs Dolphins
Knights vs Dolphins Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Knights $2.55, Dolphins $1.52
- Line: Knights +5.5 ($1.90), Dolphins -5.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Knights to win at $2.55 and the Dolphins to win at $1.52.
The Knights are listed as 5.5-point underdogs against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.90 currently available at TAB.
For the favourite Dolphins (-5.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 41.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Knights (+5.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 41.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of going Over.
More: Predictions for Every NRL Game
Knights vs Dolphins NRL Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Knights at $2.55 with TAB (0.3% edge)
- Line: Knights +5.5 at $1.90 with TAB (56% probability)
- Total Points: Over 41.5 at $1.90 with TAB (54% probability)
Today's Knights vs Dolphins betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Dolphins have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Knights to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the TAB odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Knights vs Dolphins NRL Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Dolphins at McDonald Jones Stadium this Friday has the Dolphins winning 23-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Knights vs Dolphins on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Knights vs Dolphins Try Scorers
Are you looking for Knights vs Dolphins try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Knights' Dominic Young is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs Dolphins.
Young has a 8.7% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Knights star has a 44.2% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 8.7% probability
- Hymel Hunt: 5.5% probability
- Bradman Best: 4.3% probability
- Dane Gagai: 4.2% probability
- Lachlan Miller: 4.1% probability
Dolphins First Try Scorer Tips
- Tesi Niu: 8.0% probability
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 7.1% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 6.7% probability
- Euan Aitken: 5.8% probability
- Brenko Lee: 4.5% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 44.2% probability
- Hymel Hunt: 31.3% probability
- Bradman Best: 26.9% probability
- Lachlan Miller: 25.4% probability
- Dane Gagai: 24.3% probability
Dolphins Anytime Try Scorer Tips
- Tesi Niu: 43.0% probability
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 40.0% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 38.3% probability
- Euan Aitken: 34.8% probability
- Brenko Lee: 26.9% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Knights vs Dolphins match at McDonald Jones Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2023
The NRL Round 3 clash between the Knights and Dolphins at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:00pm AEDT on Friday.
- Game: Knights vs Dolphins
- Date: Friday 17 March 2023
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEDT
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
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