Knights vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 5, 2024
Last updated: Apr 5, 2024, 8:11AM | Published: Apr 1, 2024, 9:55PM
The Knights will take on the Dragons in NRL Round 5 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday, commencing at 8:00pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Knights vs Dragons game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Knights vs Dragons
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Newcastle-St George Illawarra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Knights a 67% chance of defeating the Dragons at McDonald Jones Stadium.
More: Knights vs Dragons Simulated 10,000 Times
Knights vs Dragons: Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Knights $1.48, Dragons $2.65
- Line: Knights -5.5 ($1.85), Dragons +5.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 35.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Knights at $1.48 and the Dragons at $2.65.
The Knights are 5.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.85 currently on offer at TAB.
For the underdog Dragons (+5.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 35.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Knights (-5.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the 35.5-point Over/Under has a 60% chance of going Over.
More: NRL Fixture Difficulty 2024
Knights vs Dragons: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Knights at $1.48 (67% probability)
- Line: Knights -5.5 at $1.85 (55% probability)
- Total Points: Over 35.5 at $1.90 (60% probability) 🔥
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips of the day across any sport.
Today's Knights vs Dragons best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
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Knights vs Dragons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Dragons at McDonald Jones Stadium this Friday has the Knights winning 22-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Knights vs St George on Friday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.
Knights vs Dragons: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Knights vs Dragons try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Knights' Enari Tuala is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs St George Illawarra.
Tuala has a 9.2% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Knights star has a 41.3% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Enari Tuala: 9.2% probability
- Thomas Jenkins: 7.7% probability
- Bradman Best: 6.8% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 6.4% probability
- Dane Gagai: 4.1% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 7.9% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 7.2% probability
- Zac Lomax: 6.1% probability
- Ben Hunt: 3.3% probability
- Kyle Flanagan: 2.7% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Enari Tuala: 41.3% probability
- Thomas Jenkins: 37.1% probability
- Bradman Best: 33.6% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 31.5% probability
- Dane Gagai: 22.6% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 40.0% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 33.9% probability
- Zac Lomax: 29.1% probability
- Ben Hunt: 18.5% probability
- Kyle Flanagan: 15.0% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Knights vs Dragons match at McDonald Jones Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2024
Knights vs Dragons: Preview
The NRL Round 5 clash between the Knights and Dragons at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:00pm AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Friday 5 April 2024
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEDT
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Knights vs St George predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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