Knights vs Raiders Prediction and Odds - NRL Round 4, 2023
Mar 20, 2023, 12:16AM
The Knights play the favoured Raiders in NRL Round 4 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday, starting at 4:05pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Knights vs Raiders, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who will win? Knights vs Raiders
Using state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Newcastle-Canberra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Raiders a 62% chance of winning against the Knights at McDonald Jones Stadium.
More: Knights vs Raiders Simulated 10,000 Times
Knights vs Raiders Best Odds
The current betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Knights $2.65, Raiders $1.48
- Line: Knights +5.5 ($1.90), Raiders -5.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.85, Under $1.95
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Knights to win at $2.65 and the Raiders to win at $1.48.
The Knights are listed as 5.5-point underdogs against the Raiders, with odds of $1.90 currently available at TAB.
For the favourite Raiders (-5.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 41.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.85 and odds for the Under at $1.95.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Knights (+5.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 41.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of staying Under.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Knights vs Raiders NRL Best Bets
- Head to Head: Knights at $2.65 with TAB
- Line: Knights +5.5 at $1.90 with TAB (56% probability)
- Total Points: Under 41.5 at $1.95 with TAB (54% probability)
Our Knights vs Raiders predictions are based on complex modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Raiders have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Knights to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the TAB odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Knights vs Raiders NRL Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Raiders at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday has the Raiders winning 21-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Knights vs Raiders on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Knights vs Raiders Try Scorers
Searching for Knights vs Raiders try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Knights' Greg Marzhew is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs Canberra.
Marzhew has a 7.7% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Knights star has a 39.5% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Greg Marzhew: 7.7% probability
- Hymel Hunt: 5.7% probability
- Lachlan Miller: 5.0% probability
- Bradman Best: 4.6% probability
- Dane Gagai: 3.8% probability
Canberra Raiders
- James Schiller: 7.2% probability
- Albert Hopoate: 6.5% probability
- Hudson Young: 6.0% probability
- Harley Smith-Shields: 4.7% probability
- Jack Wighton: 4.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Greg Marzhew: 39.5% probability
- Hymel Hunt: 31.4% probability
- Lachlan Miller: 29.0% probability
- Bradman Best: 27.1% probability
- Dane Gagai: 24.5% probability
Canberra Raiders
- James Schiller: 38.1% probability
- Albert Hopoate: 37.0% probability
- Hudson Young: 33.5% probability
- Jack Wighton: 28.2% probability
- Harley Smith-Shields: 28.2% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Knights vs Raiders match at McDonald Jones Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets for the best tips for every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Knights vs Raiders NRL 2023
The NRL Round 4 clash between the Knights and Raiders at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:05pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Game: Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders
- Date: Sunday 26 March 2023
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEDT
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
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