Knights vs Raiders Prediction and Tips - NRL Finals Week 1 2023
Last updated: Sep 10, 2023, 6:05AM | Published: Sep 3, 2023, 10:44PM
The Knights play the Raiders in NRL Finals Week 1 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 4:05pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Knights vs Raiders, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Knights vs Raiders
Using high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Newcastle-Canberra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Knights a 79% chance of winning against the Raiders at McDonald Jones Stadium.
More: Knights vs Raiders Match Centre
Knights vs Raiders: Odds
The latest betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Knights $1.20, Raiders $4.60
- Line: Knights -13.5 ($1.85), Raiders +13.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.85, Under $1.95
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Knights at $1.20 and the Raiders at $4.60.
The Knights are 13.5-point favourites against the Raiders, with odds of $1.85 currently on offer at PointsBet.
For the underdog Raiders (+13.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for Knights vs Raiders has been set at 43.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.85 and odds for the Under at $1.95.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Raiders (+13.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 43.5 points has a 55% chance of going Over.
Looking for a new way to bet on this Knights vs Raiders match? Join PointsBet today and check out its comprehensive range of betting markets.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Knights vs Raiders: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Raiders at $4.60 with PointsBet (2.6% edge)
- Line: Raiders +13.5 at $1.95 with PointsBet (56% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 43.5 at $1.85 with PointsBet (55% probability)
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips of the day across any sport.
These Knights vs Raiders predictions are based on world-class simulations and gambling experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
We highly recommend betting on this Knights vs Raiders game at PointsBet, where you can use our cutting-edge predictions to bet on the NRL and more. Create your PointsBet account now!
While the Knights have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Raiders to win is our recommended option due to the 2.6% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Knights vs Raiders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Raiders at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday has the Knights winning 28-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Knights vs Raiders on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Knights vs Raiders: Try Scorers
Searching for Knights vs Raiders try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Knights' Dominic Young is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs Canberra.
Young has a 11.2% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Knights star has a 56.9% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities. We recommend using these probabilities to find a suitable bet on PointsBet, where you can enjoy betting on every single game this week.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 11.2% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 10.9% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 7.0% probability
- Bradman Best: 6.9% probability
- Dane Gagai: 4.0% probability
Canberra Raiders
- James Schiller: 4.9% probability
- Nick Cotric: 4.9% probability
- Hudson Young: 4.5% probability
- Matthew Timoko: 4.1% probability
- Jordan Rapana: 3.5% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 56.9% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 55.3% probability
- Bradman Best: 41.2% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 40.9% probability
- Dane Gagai: 24.2% probability
Canberra Raiders
- Nick Cotric: 29.9% probability
- James Schiller: 29.5% probability
- Hudson Young: 27.8% probability
- Matthew Timoko: 26.9% probability
- Jordan Rapana: 23.7% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Knights vs Raiders match at McDonald Jones Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Knights vs Raiders: Preview
The NRL Finals clash between the Knights and Raiders at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:05pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders
- Date: Sunday 10 September 2023
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Knights vs Raiders have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NRL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
More on the NRL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, tips for every NRL game, and futures odds for the NRL.
