Knights vs Storm Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 21, 2023

Last updated: Jul 22, 2023, 7:30AM | Published: Jul 16, 2023, 11:15PM

The Knights face the favoured Storm in NRL Round 21 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Saturday, with kick-off at 5:30pm AEST.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for Knights vs Storm, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

More: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 21, 2023

Who Will Win: Knights vs Storm

Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Newcastle-Melbourne NRL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Storm a 66% chance of winning against the Knights in Round 21 of the 2023 NRL season.

More: Knights vs Storm Match Centre

Knights vs Storm: Odds

The current betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are listed here:

Head to Head: Knights $3.25, Storm $1.34
Line: Knights +8.5 ($1.85), Storm -8.5 ($1.95)
Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Knights at $3.25 and the Storm at $1.34.

The Knights are listed as 8.5-point underdogs against the Storm, with odds of $1.85 currently available at PointsBet.

For the favourite Storm (-8.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.95.

The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 45.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Knights (+8.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 45.5-point Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Looking for a new way to bet on this Knights vs Storm match? Join PointsBet today and check out its comprehensive range of betting markets.

More: Best Bets Today for All Sports

Knights vs Storm: Best Bets

Head to Head: Knights at $3.25 with PointsBet (3.1% edge)
Line: Knights +8.5 at $1.85 with PointsBet (56% probability)
Total Points: Over 45.5 at $1.90 with PointsBet (50% probability)

Stats Insider's Knights vs Storm predictions are based on detailed simulations and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.

We highly recommend betting on this Knights vs Storm match at PointsBet, where you can use our cutting-edge predictions to bet on the NRL and more. Create a PointsBet account now!

While the Storm have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Knights to win is our preferred option because of the 3.1% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.

Knights vs Storm: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Storm at McDonald Jones Stadium on Saturday has the Storm winning 25-19.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Knights vs Storm on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Knights vs Storm: Try Scorers

Are you looking for Knights vs Storm try scorers? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Xavier Coates is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs Melbourne.

Coates has a 10.3% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Storm star has a 53.4% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities. We recommend using these probabilities to find a suitable bet on PointsBet, where you can enjoy betting on every single game this week.

First Try Scorer Tips

Newcastle Knights

Dominic Young: 8.5% probability
Greg Marzhew: 6.7% probability
Kalyn Ponga: 5.2% probability
Bradman Best: 4.8% probability
Dane Gagai: 2.7% probability

Melbourne Storm

Xavier Coates: 10.3% probability
Will Warbrick: 7.3% probability
Nick Meaney: 6.2% probability
Justin Olam: 5.2% probability
Jahrome Hughes: 4.9% probability

Anytime Try Scorer Tips

Newcastle Knights

Dominic Young: 45.8% probability
Greg Marzhew: 41.2% probability
Kalyn Ponga: 31.4% probability
Bradman Best: 30.6% probability
Dane Gagai: 19.8% probability

Melbourne Storm

Xavier Coates: 53.4% probability
Will Warbrick: 44.2% probability
Nick Meaney: 38.3% probability
Justin Olam: 32.4% probability
Cameron Munster: 32.3% probability

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Knights vs Storm match at McDonald Jones Stadium.

As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips for every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: NRL True Kicker Ratings 2023

Knights vs Storm: Preview

The NRL Round 21 clash between the Knights and Storm at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:30pm AEST on Saturday.

Teams: Newcastle Knights vs Melbourne Storm
Date: Saturday 22 July 2023
Kick-off: 5:30pm AEST
Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.

Our predictions for Knights vs Storm have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.