Knights vs Storm Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 3, 2024
Last updated: Mar 24, 2024, 6:45AM | Published: Mar 17, 2024, 10:34PM
The Knights will play the Storm in NRL Round 3 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 6:15pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Knights vs Storm game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Knights vs Storm
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Newcastle-Melbourne NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Knights a 53% chance of defeating the Storm at McDonald Jones Stadium.
More: Knights vs Storm Match Centre
Knights vs Storm: Odds
The latest betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Knights $1.74, Storm $2.10
- Line: Knights -1.5 ($1.85), Storm +1.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $1.85
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Knights at $1.74 and the Storm at $2.10.
The Knights are listed as 1.5-point favourites against the Storm, with odds of $1.85 currently on offer at TAB.
For the underdog Storm (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for Knights vs Storm is set at 42.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $1.85.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Storm (+1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 42.5-point Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Knights vs Storm: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Storm at $2.10
- Line: Storm +1.5 at $1.95 (51% probability)
- Total Points: Over 42.5 at $1.95 (50% probability)
Our Knights vs Storm betting tips are based on complex modelling and gambling intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Knights have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Storm to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
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Knights vs Storm: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Storm at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday has the Knights winning 21-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Knights vs Storm on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
Knights vs Storm: Try Scorers
Searching for Knights vs Storm try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Ryan Papenhuyzen is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs Melbourne.
Papenhuyzen has a 8.8% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Storm star has a 44.5% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Enari Tuala: 8.5% probability
- Thomas Jenkins: 7.2% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 6.4% probability
- Bradman Best: 6.2% probability
- Dane Gagai: 3.3% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 8.8% probability
- Xavier Coates: 7.6% probability
- Will Warbrick: 6.5% probability
- Nick Meaney: 4.1% probability
- Reimis Smith: 3.0% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Enari Tuala: 43.4% probability
- Thomas Jenkins: 39.6% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 34.6% probability
- Bradman Best: 34.5% probability
- Dane Gagai: 21.6% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 44.5% probability
- Xavier Coates: 40.8% probability
- Will Warbrick: 35.9% probability
- Nick Meaney: 24.4% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 19.4% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Knights vs Storm match at McDonald Jones Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2024
Knights vs Storm: Preview
The NRL Round 3 clash between the Knights and Storm at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:15pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs Melbourne Storm
- Date: Sunday 24 March 2024
- Kick-off: 6:15pm AEDT
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Knights vs Storm predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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