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Knights vs Tigers Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 20, 2023

The Knights play the Tigers in NRL Round 20 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday, with kick-off at 8:00pm AEST.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for Knights vs Tigers, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.

More: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 20, 2023

Who Will Win: Knights vs Tigers

Using state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Newcastle-Wests NRL match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Knights a 74% chance of defeating the Tigers at McDonald Jones Stadium.

More: Knights vs Tigers Match Centre

Knights vs Tigers: Odds

The latest betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Knights $1.22, Tigers $4.30
  • Line: Knights -13.5 ($1.90), Tigers +13.5 ($1.90)
  • Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.85, Under $1.95

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Knights at $1.22 and the Tigers at $4.30.

The Knights are 13.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $1.90 currently available at TAB.

For the underdog Tigers (+13.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.90.

The Over/Under for Knights vs Tigers has been set at 45.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.85 and odds for the Under at $1.95.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+13.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 45.5-point Over/Under has a 53% chance of going Over.

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More: Best Bets for Every NRL Game

Knights vs Tigers: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Tigers at $4.30 with TAB (2.6% edge)
  • Line: Tigers +13.5 at $1.90 with TAB (56% probability)
  • Total Points: Over 45.5 at $1.85 with TAB (53% probability)

Stats Insider's Knights vs Tigers predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

 

We highly recommend betting on this Knights vs Tigers match at PointsBet, where you can use our cutting-edge predictions to bet on the NRL and more. Create your PointsBet account now!

While the Knights have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option due to the 2.6% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Knights vs Tigers: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Tigers at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday has the Knights winning 29-18.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Knights vs Tigers on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live scores.

Knights vs Tigers: Try Scorers

Are you looking for Knights vs Tigers try scorers? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, the Knights' Dominic Young is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs Wests.

Young has a 11.9% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Knights star has a 59.1% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.

Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities. We recommend using these probabilities to find a suitable bet on Dabble, which you can then share with the Dabble community.

First Try Scorer Tips

Newcastle Knights

  • Dominic Young: 11.9% probability
  • Greg Marzhew: 10.9% probability
  • Kalyn Ponga: 7.1% probability
  • Bradman Best: 6.9% probability
  • Enari Tuala: 4.8% probability

Wests Tigers

  • Junior Tupou: 5.0% probability
  • Asu Kepaoa: 4.9% probability
  • Tommy Talau: 3.7% probability
  • Starford To'a: 3.4% probability
  • Jahream Bula: 3.3% probability

Anytime Try Scorer Tips

Newcastle Knights

  • Dominic Young: 59.1% probability
  • Greg Marzhew: 54.3% probability
  • Kalyn Ponga: 42.3% probability
  • Bradman Best: 41.2% probability
  • Enari Tuala: 32.3% probability

Wests Tigers

  • Junior Tupou: 31.8% probability
  • Asu Kepaoa: 31.6% probability
  • Tommy Talau: 26.7% probability
  • Starford To'a: 24.2% probability
  • Jahream Bula: 22.7% probability

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Knights vs Tigers match at McDonald Jones Stadium.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023

Knights vs Tigers: Preview

The NRL Round 20 clash between the Knights and Tigers at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:00pm AEST on Friday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.

Our predictions for Knights vs Tigers are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.

More on the NRL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, predictions for every NRL game, and futures odds for the NRL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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