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Lightning vs Avalanche Prediction and NHL Tips - 16 February 2024

The Tampa Bay Lightning will play the Colorado Avalanche in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Friday, commencing at 11:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Lightning vs Avalanche game, plus the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured in this article.

Who Will Win: Lightning vs Avalanche

Using detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Tampa Bay-Colorado NHL match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Lightning a 52% chance of defeating the Avalanche at Amalie Arena.

More: Lightning vs Avalanche Match Centre

Lightning vs Avalanche: Odds

The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Friday's NHL game at Amalie Arena are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Lightning $1.86, Avalanche $2.14
  • Line: Lightning -1.5 ($3.00), Avalanche +1.5 ($1.46)
  • Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.81, Under $2.14

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Lightning at $1.86 and the Avalanche at $2.14.

The Lightning are 1.5-goal favourites against the Avalanche, with odds of $3.00 currently available at Betfair.

For the underdog Avalanche (+1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.46.

The Over/Under for Lightning vs Avalanche is set at 6.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.81 and odds for the Under at $2.14.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Avalanche (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 52% chance of staying Under.

The best site for placing bets on the Lightning vs Avalanche game is Betfair, where you can bet against other sports fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.

More: Best Bets Today for All Sports

Lightning vs Avalanche: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Colorado at $2.14 with Betfair (1.7% edge)
  • Line: Avalanche +1.5 at $1.46 with Betfair (68% probability)
  • Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $2.14 with Betfair (52% probability) 🔥


Every time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.

Stats Insider's Lightning vs Avalanche best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.

While the Lightning have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Avalanche to win is our preferred option because of the 1.7% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.

What could be better than using one of the world's top predictive analytics models to bet on the NHL? Now, with this useful information, you can also bet on something not to happen.

Join Betfair today to get even more out of Stats Insider's data.

Before you begin, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.

Lightning vs Avalanche: Prediction

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Tampa Bay vs Colorado on Friday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Lightning vs Avalanche: Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs Avalanche? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Colorado's Nathan MacKinnon is the most likely player to score the first goal in Lightning vs Avalanche.

MacKinnon has a 9.6% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Avalanche star has a 45.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips

  • Nikita Kucherov: 7.7% probability
  • Brayden Point: 7.5% probability
  • Steven Stamkos: 6.2% probability
  • Brandon Hagel: 6.0% probability
  • Nick Paul: 3.7% probability

Avalanche First Goal Scorer Tips

  • Nathan MacKinnon: 9.6% probability
  • Mikko Rantanen: 8.6% probability
  • Cale Makar: 4.0% probability
  • Artturi Lehkonen: 3.5% probability
  • Jonathan Drouin: 3.4% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

  • Brayden Point: 37.6% probability
  • Nikita Kucherov: 37.6% probability
  • Brandon Hagel: 31.0% probability
  • Steven Stamkos: 30.3% probability
  • Nick Paul: 19.8% probability

Avalanche Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

  • Nathan MacKinnon: 45.6% probability
  • Mikko Rantanen: 42.2% probability
  • Artturi Lehkonen: 23.2% probability
  • Cale Makar: 21.9% probability
  • Jonathan Drouin: 19.8% probability

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Tampa Bay vs Colorado match-up at Amalie Arena.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NHL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Lightning vs Avalanche: Preview

The match-up between the Lightning and Avalanche at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 11:00am AEDT on Friday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

Our Tampa Bay vs Colorado predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NHL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, tips for every NHL game, and futures probabilities for the NHL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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