Lightning vs Canadiens Prediction and NHL Tips - 3 March 2024
Last updated: Mar 3, 2024, 12:09AM | Published: Mar 1, 2024, 8:33PM
The Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Montreal Canadiens in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Sunday, starting at 11:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Lightning vs Canadiens game, plus the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Lightning vs Canadiens
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Tampa Bay-Montreal NHL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Lightning a 68% chance of defeating the Canadiens at Amalie Arena.
More: Lightning vs Canadiens Simulated 10K Times
Lightning vs Canadiens: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NHL game at Amalie Arena are shown below:
- Head to Head: Lightning $1.42, Canadiens $3.25
- Line: Lightning -1.5 ($1.97), Canadiens +1.5 ($1.92)
- Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.98, Under $2.00
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Lightning at $1.42 and the Canadiens at $3.25.
The Lightning are 1.5-goal favourites against the Canadiens, with odds of $1.97 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Canadiens (+1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.92.
The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.98 and odds for the Under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 51% chance of staying Under.
The best site for placing bets on the Lightning vs Canadiens game is Betfair, where you can bet against other NHL fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Lightning vs Canadiens: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Montreal at $3.25 with Betfair (1.3% edge)
- Line: Canadiens +1.5 at $1.92 with Betfair (54% probability)
- Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (51% probability)
While the Lightning have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Canadiens to win is our preferred option because of the 1.3% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
What could be better than using one of the world's best predictive analytics models to bet on the NHL? Now, with this useful information, you can also bet on something not to happen.
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Before you get started, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.
Lightning vs Canadiens: Prediction
Stats Insider has full coverage of Tampa Bay vs Montreal on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Lightning vs Canadiens: Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs Canadiens? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is the most likely player to score the first goal in Lightning vs Canadiens.
Point has a 9.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star has a 46.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 9.4% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 8.1% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 7.7% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 6.2% probability
- Anthony Cirelli: 3.6% probability
Canadiens First Goal Scorer Tips
- Cole Caufield: 6.8% probability
- Nick Suzuki: 5.9% probability
- Juraj Slafkovsky: 4.6% probability
- Alex Newhook: 4.0% probability
- Josh Anderson: 3.1% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 46.1% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 41.4% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 40.2% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 35.0% probability
- Nick Paul: 21.7% probability
Canadiens Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Cole Caufield: 33.9% probability
- Nick Suzuki: 31.1% probability
- Juraj Slafkovsky: 27.5% probability
- Alex Newhook: 21.5% probability
- Josh Anderson: 19.0% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Tampa Bay vs Montreal match-up at Amalie Arena.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Lightning vs Canadiens: Preview
The game between the Lightning and Canadiens at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 11:00am AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens
- Date: Sunday 3 March 2024
- Time: 11:00am AEDT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Tampa Bay vs Montreal predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NHL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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