Lightning vs Capitals Prediction and NHL Tips - 23 February 2024
Last updated: Feb 22, 2024, 11:57PM | Published: Feb 21, 2024, 11:34PM
The Tampa Bay Lightning will take on the Washington Capitals in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Friday, starting at 11:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Lightning vs Capitals game, plus the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Lightning vs Capitals
Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Tampa Bay-Washington NHL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Lightning a 62% chance of defeating the Capitals at Amalie Arena.
More: Lightning vs Capitals Simulated 10,000 Times
Lightning vs Capitals: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Friday's NHL game at Amalie Arena are shown here:
- Head to Head: Lightning $1.55, Capitals $2.76
- Line: Lightning -1.5 ($2.38), Capitals +1.5 ($1.69)
- Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.98, Under $1.94
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Lightning at $1.55 and the Capitals at $2.76.
The Lightning are 1.5-goal favourites against the Capitals, with odds of $2.38 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Capitals (+1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.69.
The Over/Under for Lightning vs Capitals has been set at 6.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.98 and odds for the Under at $1.94.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 54% chance of staying Under.
The best site for placing bets on the Lightning vs Capitals game is Betfair, where you can bet against other NHL fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Lightning vs Capitals: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Washington at $2.76 with Betfair (1.3% edge)
- Line: Lightning -1.5 at $2.38 with Betfair (0.3% edge)
- Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $1.94 with Betfair (54% probability)
And while the Lightning have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Capitals to win is our preferred option because of the 1.3% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Although the Capitals are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Lightning -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
What could be better than using one of the world's leading predictive analytics models to bet on the NHL? Now, with this useful information, you can also bet on something not to happen.
Join Betfair today to get even more out of Stats Insider's data.
Before you get started, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.
Lightning vs Capitals: Prediction
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Tampa Bay vs Washington on Friday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Lightning vs Capitals: Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs Capitals? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is the most likely player to score the first goal in Lightning vs Capitals.
Point has an 8.1% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star has a 39.4% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 8.1% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 8.0% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 7.5% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 6.3% probability
- Anthony Cirelli: 3.5% probability
Capitals First Goal Scorer Tips
- T.J. Oshie: 5.4% probability
- Alex Ovechkin: 5.0% probability
- Dylan Strome: 4.7% probability
- Max Pacioretty: 4.4% probability
- John Carlson: 3.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 39.4% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 37.3% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 36.4% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 31.7% probability
- Anthony Cirelli: 18.7% probability
Capitals Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- T.J. Oshie: 29.3% probability
- Dylan Strome: 26.5% probability
- Alex Ovechkin: 25.2% probability
- Max Pacioretty: 23.6% probability
- Tom Wilson: 19.5% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Tampa Bay vs Washington match-up at Amalie Arena.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NHL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Lightning vs Capitals: Preview
The match-up between the Lightning and Capitals at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 11:00am AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals
- Date: Friday 23 February 2024
- Time: 11:00am AEDT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our Tampa Bay vs Washington predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NHL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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