Lightning vs Maple Leafs Prediction and NHL Tips - 18 April 2024
Last updated: Apr 17, 2024, 11:09PM | Published: Apr 17, 2024, 12:15PM
The Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Toronto Maple Leafs in the 2024 NHL Playoffs at Amalie Arena on Thursday, beginning at 9:00am AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Lightning vs Maple Leafs game, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Lightning vs Maple Leafs
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Tampa Bay-Toronto NHL Playoffs game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Lightning a 54% chance of beating the Maple Leafs at Amalie Arena.
More: Lightning vs Maple Leafs Match Centre
Lightning vs Maple Leafs: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Thursday's NHL game at Amalie Arena are shown here:
- Head to Head: Lightning $1.81, Maple Leafs $2.20
- Line: Lightning -1.5 ($2.88), Maple Leafs +1.5 ($1.46)
- Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.77, Under $2.18
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Lightning at $1.81 and the Maple Leafs at $2.20.
The Lightning are listed as 1.5-goal favourites against the Maple Leafs, with odds of $2.88 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Maple Leafs (+1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.46.
The Over/Under for total goals scored has been set at 6.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.77 and odds for the Under at $2.18.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Lightning vs Maple Leafs: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Toronto at $2.20 with Betfair (0.7% edge)
- Line: Lightning -1.5 at $2.88 with Betfair
- Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $2.18 with Betfair (50% probability) 🔥
Every time you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across all sports.
Today's Lightning vs Maple Leafs best bets are based on detailed modelling and wagering experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
And while the Lightning have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Maple Leafs to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Although the Maple Leafs are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Lightning -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Lightning vs Maple Leafs: Prediction
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Tampa Bay vs Toronto on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Lightning vs Maple Leafs: Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs Maple Leafs? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Lightning vs Maple Leafs.
Matthews has a 10.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Maple Leafs star has a 47.2% chance of registering an anytime goal.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 9.2% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 6.9% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 5.3% probability
- Nick Paul: 4.8% probability
- Anthony Duclair: 4.7% probability
Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 10.3% probability
- William Nylander: 6.6% probability
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 6.2% probability
- John Tavares: 5.4% probability
- Mitchell Marner: 5.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 44.4% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 37.1% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 29.0% probability
- Anthony Duclair: 25.9% probability
- Nick Paul: 25.5% probability
Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 47.2% probability
- William Nylander: 33.7% probability
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 31.7% probability
- John Tavares: 28.6% probability
- Mitchell Marner: 28.0% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Tampa Bay vs Toronto match-up at Amalie Arena.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Lightning vs Maple Leafs: Preview
The match-up between the Lightning and Maple Leafs in the NHL Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 9:00am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Thursday 18 April 2024
- Time: 9:00am AEST
- Venue: Amalie Arena
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Tampa Bay vs Toronto predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NHL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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