Lightning vs Penguins Prediction and NHL Tips - 7 December 2023

Last updated: Dec 7, 2023, 12:09AM | Published: Dec 5, 2023, 8:01PM

The Tampa Bay Lightning face the Pittsburgh Penguins in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Thursday, beginning at 11:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for Lightning vs Penguins, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured in this article.

Who Will Win: Lightning vs Penguins

Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Tampa Bay-Pittsburgh NHL match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Lightning a 55% chance of beating the Penguins at Amalie Arena.

More: Lightning vs Penguins Simulated 10K Times

Lightning vs Penguins: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's NHL game at Amalie Arena are shown below:

Head to Head: Lightning $1.77, Penguins $2.15
Line: Lightning -1.5 ($2.90), Penguins +1.5 ($1.46)
Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Lightning at $1.77. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Penguins at $2.15.

The Lightning are 1.5-goal favourites against the Penguins, with odds of $2.90 currently on offer at PointsBet.

For the underdog Penguins (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.46.

The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 53% chance of staying Under.

More: Live Scores for All Sports

Lightning vs Penguins: Best Bets

Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $1.77 with bet365 (55% probability)
Line: Lightning -1.5 at $2.90 with PointsBet
Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $1.91 with PointsBet (53% probability)

These Lightning vs Penguins best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice every time.

Although the Penguins are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Lightning -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.

Lightning vs Penguins: Prediction

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Lightning vs Penguins: Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs Penguins? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Nikita Kucherov is the most likely player to score the first goal in Lightning vs Penguins.

Kucherov has an 8.0% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star has a 37.7% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips

Nikita Kucherov: 8.0% probability
Brayden Point: 7.7% probability
Steven Stamkos: 6.0% probability
Brandon Hagel: 5.4% probability
Nick Paul: 3.8% probability

Penguins First Goal Scorer Tips

Sidney Crosby: 7.7% probability
Jake Guentzel: 7.1% probability
Evgeni Malkin: 5.9% probability
Bryan Rust: 4.9% probability
Reilly Smith: 4.3% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Brayden Point: 38.3% probability
Nikita Kucherov: 37.7% probability
Steven Stamkos: 34.1% probability
Brandon Hagel: 29.7% probability
Nick Paul: 20.9% probability

Penguins Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Sidney Crosby: 38.4% probability
Jake Guentzel: 36.5% probability
Evgeni Malkin: 29.8% probability
Bryan Rust: 27.7% probability
Reilly Smith: 24.7% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh game at Amalie Arena.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NHL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Lightning vs Penguins: Preview

The match-up between the Lightning and Penguins at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 11:00am AEDT on Thursday.

Teams: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Date: Thursday 7 December 2023
Time: 11:00am AEDT
Venue: Amalie Arena

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

Our predictions for Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.