Lightning vs Sabres Prediction and NHL Tips - 1 March 2024
Last updated: Feb 29, 2024, 11:57PM | Published: Feb 29, 2024, 12:01AM
The Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Buffalo Sabres in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Friday, beginning at 11:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Lightning vs Sabres game, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Lightning vs Sabres
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Tampa Bay-Buffalo NHL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lightning a 59% chance of winning against the Sabres at Amalie Arena.
More: Lightning vs Sabres Simulated 10K Times
Lightning vs Sabres: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Friday's NHL game at Amalie Arena are shown here:
- Head to Head: Lightning $1.72, Sabres $2.36
- Line: Lightning -1.5 ($2.74), Sabres +1.5 ($1.54)
- Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $2.08, Under $1.86
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Lightning at $1.72 and the Sabres at $2.36.
The Lightning are 1.5-goal favourites against the Sabres, with odds of $2.74 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Sabres (+1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.54.
The Over/Under for Lightning vs Sabres is set at 6.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.08 and odds for the Under at $1.86.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 51% chance of staying Under.
The best site to place a bet on the Lightning vs Sabres game is Betfair, where you can wager against other sports fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Lightning vs Sabres: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $1.72 with Betfair (59% probability)
- Line: Lightning -1.5 at $2.74 with Betfair (2.0% edge)
- Total Goals: Over 6.5 at $2.08 with Betfair (1.1% edge)
Although the Sabres are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Lightning -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 6.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.08) that are available from Betfair.
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Before you get started, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.
Lightning vs Sabres: Prediction
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Tampa Bay vs Buffalo on Friday, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Lightning vs Sabres: Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs Sabres? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Brandon Hagel is the most likely player to score the first goal in Lightning vs Sabres.
Hagel has an 8.7% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star has a 40.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips
- Brandon Hagel: 8.7% probability
- Brayden Point: 8.0% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 7.1% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 5.6% probability
- Nick Paul: 3.2% probability
Sabres First Goal Scorer Tips
- Tage Thompson: 7.0% probability
- Alex Tuch: 6.0% probability
- Dylan Cozens: 5.2% probability
- Jeff Skinner: 5.0% probability
- Casey Mittelstadt: 3.7% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 42.4% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 40.6% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 39.6% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 32.6% probability
- Nick Paul: 21.3% probability
Sabres Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Tage Thompson: 36.7% probability
- Alex Tuch: 33.5% probability
- Dylan Cozens: 30.5% probability
- Jeff Skinner: 28.6% probability
- Casey Mittelstadt: 19.8% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Tampa Bay vs Buffalo match-up at Amalie Arena.
As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips for every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Lightning vs Sabres: Preview
The game between the Lightning and Sabres at Amalie Arena is scheduled to start at 11:00am AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres
- Date: Friday 1 March 2024
- Time: 11:00am AEDT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our Tampa Bay vs Buffalo predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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