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Lightning vs Sabres Prediction and NHL Tips - 16 April 2024

The Tampa Bay Lightning will sqaure off with the Buffalo Sabres in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Tuesday, starting at 9:00am AEST.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Lightning vs Sabres game, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed below.

Who Will Win: Lightning vs Sabres

Based on high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Tampa Bay-Buffalo NHL match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Lightning a 61% chance of beating the Sabres at Amalie Arena.

More: Lightning vs Sabres Match Centre

Lightning vs Sabres: Odds

The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NHL game at Amalie Arena are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Lightning $1.61, Sabres $2.52
  • Line: Lightning -1.5 ($2.47), Sabres +1.5 ($1.63)
  • Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $2.16, Under $1.79

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Lightning at $1.61 and the Sabres at $2.52.

The Lightning are 1.5-goal favourites against the Sabres, with odds of $2.47 currently available at Betfair.

For the underdog Sabres (+1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.63.

The Over/Under for Lightning vs Sabres is set at 6.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.16 and odds for the Under at $1.79.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 53% chance of staying Under.

More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports

Lightning vs Sabres: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Buffalo at $2.52 with Betfair
  • Line: Sabres +1.5 at $1.63 with Betfair (61% probability)
  • Total Goals: Over 6.5 at $2.16 with Betfair (1.0% edge)

These Lightning vs Sabres predictions are based on world-class simulations and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.

While the Lightning have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Sabres to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.

Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 6.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.16) that are available from Betfair.

Lightning vs Sabres: Prediction

Stats Insider has full coverage of Tampa Bay vs Buffalo on Tuesday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live updates.

Lightning vs Sabres: Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs Sabres? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is the most likely player to score the first goal in Lightning vs Sabres.

Point has an 8.5% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star has a 44.6% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips

  • Brayden Point: 8.5% probability
  • Steven Stamkos: 7.4% probability
  • Anthony Duclair: 5.8% probability
  • Nikita Kucherov: 5.7% probability
  • Nick Paul: 4.9% probability

Sabres First Goal Scorer Tips

  • Tage Thompson: 7.7% probability
  • Alex Tuch: 5.8% probability
  • John-Jason Peterka: 4.8% probability
  • Dylan Cozens: 4.4% probability
  • Jeff Skinner: 4.0% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

  • Brayden Point: 44.6% probability
  • Steven Stamkos: 38.0% probability
  • Nikita Kucherov: 30.5% probability
  • Anthony Duclair: 29.3% probability
  • Nick Paul: 27.3% probability

Sabres Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

  • Tage Thompson: 39.6% probability
  • Alex Tuch: 32.4% probability
  • John-Jason Peterka: 23.9% probability
  • Dylan Cozens: 23.9% probability
  • Jeff Skinner: 23.8% probability

Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Tampa Bay vs Buffalo match-up at Amalie Arena.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Lightning vs Sabres: Preview

The game between the Lightning and Sabres at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:00am AEST on Tuesday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.

Our Tampa Bay vs Buffalo predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NHL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, predictions for every NHL game, and futures odds for the NHL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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