Lightning vs Senators Prediction and NHL Tips - 12 April 2024

Last updated: Apr 11, 2024, 11:09PM | Published: Apr 10, 2024, 7:32PM

The Tampa Bay Lightning will sqaure off with the Ottawa Senators in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Friday, beginning at 9:00am AEST.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Lightning vs Senators game, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured in this article.

Who Will Win: Lightning vs Senators

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Tampa Bay-Ottawa NHL game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Lightning a 60% chance of winning against the Senators at Amalie Arena.

More: Lightning vs Senators Match Centre

Lightning vs Senators: Odds

The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Friday's NHL game at Amalie Arena are shown below:

Head to Head: Lightning $1.66, Senators $2.44
Line: Lightning -1.5 ($2.36), Senators +1.5 ($1.62)
Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.80, Under $2.18

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Lightning at $1.66 and the Senators at $2.44.

The Lightning are 1.5-goal favourites against the Senators, with odds of $2.36 currently available at Betfair.

For the underdog Senators (+1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.62.

The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 6.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.80 and odds for the Under at $2.18.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.

More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports

Lightning vs Senators: Best Bets

Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $1.66 with Betfair (60% probability)
Line: Senators +1.5 at $1.62 with Betfair (62% probability)
Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $2.18 with Betfair (3.5% edge)

These Lightning vs Senators betting tips are based on complex modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

Despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 6.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.18) that are available from Betfair.

Lightning vs Senators: Prediction

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Tampa Bay vs Ottawa on Friday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live updates.

Lightning vs Senators: Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs Senators? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is the most likely player to score the first goal in Lightning vs Senators.

Point has a 9.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star has a 44.8% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips

Brayden Point: 9.8% probability
Steven Stamkos: 8.0% probability
Nikita Kucherov: 6.0% probability
Nick Paul: 5.0% probability
Brandon Hagel: 4.3% probability

Senators First Goal Scorer Tips

Brady Tkachuk: 8.0% probability
Claude Giroux: 6.4% probability
Drake Batherson: 6.4% probability
Shane Pinto: 4.2% probability
Jakob Chychrun: 4.2% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Brayden Point: 44.8% probability
Steven Stamkos: 39.3% probability
Nikita Kucherov: 33.1% probability
Nick Paul: 28.6% probability
Brandon Hagel: 24.9% probability

Senators Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Brady Tkachuk: 40.5% probability
Drake Batherson: 33.6% probability
Claude Giroux: 32.9% probability
Shane Pinto: 25.7% probability
Jakob Chychrun: 20.4% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Tampa Bay vs Ottawa game at Amalie Arena.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NHL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Lightning vs Senators: Preview

The game between the Lightning and Senators at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:00am AEST on Friday.

Teams: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators
Date: Friday 12 April 2024
Time: 9:00am AEST
Venue: Amalie Arena

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.

Our Tampa Bay vs Ottawa predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our NHL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.