Lions vs Bears Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2023
Last updated: Nov 19, 2023, 6:01PM | Published: Nov 14, 2023, 2:47AM
The Detroit Lions take on the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 11 action at Ford Field on Monday, beginning at 5:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Lions vs Bears, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Lions vs Bears
Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Detroit-Chicago NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 74% chance of winning against the Bears in Week 11 of the NFL season.
More: Lions vs Bears Match Centre
Lions vs Bears: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Ford Field are listed below:
- Head to Head: Lions $1.27, Bears $4.10
- Line: Lions -7.5 ($1.91), Bears +7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Lions at $1.27. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Bears at $4.10.
The Lions are 7.5-point favourites against the Bears, with odds of $1.91 currently available at bet365.
For the underdog Bears (+7.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 48 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both the Lions and the Bears have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The Over/Under total of 48 points is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Lions vs Bears: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Chicago at $4.10 with PointsBet (0.1% edge)
- Line: Bears +7.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (50% probability)
- Total Points: Under 48 at $1.91 with bet365 (50% probability)
Today's Lions vs Bears predictions are based on world-class modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bears to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Lions vs Bears: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Lions vs Bears at Ford Field in Week 11 has the Lions winning 27-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Detroit vs Chicago in Week 11, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Lions vs Bears: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Lions vs Bears? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Detroit's Amon-Ra St. Brown is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Lions vs Bears.
St. Brown has a 10.8% chance of getting in for six first at Ford Field, while the Lions WR has a 47.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Lions First TD Tips
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 10.8% probability
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 10.1% probability
- David Montgomery: 9.8% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 7.5% probability
- Josh Reynolds: 5.0% probability
Bears First TD Tips
- Justin Fields: 9.4% probability
- DJ Moore: 6.2% probability
- D'Onta Foreman: 6.1% probability
- Khalil Herbert: 5.0% probability
- Cole Kmet: 4.4% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Lions Anytime TD Tips
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 47.1% probability
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 43.8% probability
- David Montgomery: 43.6% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 35.3% probability
- Josh Reynolds: 25.1% probability
Bears Anytime TD Tips
- Justin Fields: 43.2% probability
- DJ Moore: 31.0% probability
- D'Onta Foreman: 29.6% probability
- Khalil Herbert: 25.2% probability
- Cole Kmet: 22.7% probability
Lions-Bears Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected to have a big game with 302 passing yards. The Bears' Justin Fields is expected to throw for 201 yards.
Lions Starting QB
- Jared Goff: 302 projected passing yards
Bears Starting QB
- Justin Fields: 201 projected passing yards
Lions Rushing Yards
- David Montgomery: 61 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 56 projected yards
- Jared Goff: 7 projected yards
Bears Rushing Yards
- Justin Fields: 58 projected yards
- D'Onta Foreman: 47 projected yards
- Khalil Herbert: 38 projected yards
Lions Receiving Yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 81 projected yards
- Sam LaPorta: 49 projected yards
- Josh Reynolds: 36 projected yards
- Kalif Raymond: 28 projected yards
- Donovan Peoples-Jones: 26 projected yards
Bears Receiving Yards
- DJ Moore: 78 projected yards
- Cole Kmet: 44 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 35 projected yards
- Robert Tonyan: 16 projected yards
- Tyler Scott: 15 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Detroit vs Chicago game at Ford Field.
As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Lions vs Bears: Week 11 Preview
The NFL Week 11 match-up between the Lions and Bears at Ford Field is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears
- Date: Monday 20 November 2023
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Ford Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Detroit vs Chicago have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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