Lions vs Broncos Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 15, 2023
Last updated: Dec 17, 2023, 1:16AM | Published: Dec 12, 2023, 1:50AM
The Detroit Lions will face the Denver Broncos in NFL Week 15 action at Ford Field on Sunday, beginning at 12:15pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Lions vs Broncos game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Lions vs Broncos
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Detroit-Denver NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 66% chance of beating the Broncos at Ford Field.
More: Lions vs Broncos Match Centre
Lions vs Broncos: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NFL game at Ford Field are shown below:
- Head to Head: Lions $1.47, Broncos $3.10
- Line: Lions -5 ($1.91), Broncos +5 ($2.06)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.85, Under $2.04
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Lions at $1.47 and the Broncos at $3.10.
The Lions are listed as 5-point favourites against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 currently available at PointsBet.
For the underdog Broncos (+5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.06.
The Over/Under for Lions vs Broncos is set at 48.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.85 and odds for the Under at $2.04.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Lions and the Broncos have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 48.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Lions vs Broncos: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Denver at $3.10 with Betfair (1.7% edge)
- Line: Broncos +5 at $2.06 with Betfair (50% probability)
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (0.1% edge)
Stats Insider's Lions vs Broncos betting tips are based on world-class simulations and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Broncos to win is our preferred option due to the 1.7% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 48.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.04) that are available from Betfair.
Lions vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Lions vs Broncos at Ford Field in Week 15 has the Lions winning 26-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap on See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Detroit vs Denver in Week 15, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Lions vs Broncos: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Lions vs Broncos? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Denver's Courtland Sutton is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Lions vs Broncos.
Sutton has a 12.4% chance of getting in for six first at Ford Field, while the Broncos WR has a 52.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Lions First TD Tips
- David Montgomery: 11.0% probability
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 9.7% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 9.0% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 7.6% probability
- Josh Reynolds: 4.4% probability
Broncos First TD Tips
- Courtland Sutton: 12.4% probability
- Javonte Williams: 11.7% probability
- Jerry Jeudy: 6.3% probability
- Russell Wilson: 4.1% probability
- Marvin Mims: 2.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Lions Anytime TD Tips
- David Montgomery: 48.4% probability
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 43.6% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 41.1% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 36.1% probability
- Josh Reynolds: 22.6% probability
Broncos Anytime TD Tips
- Courtland Sutton: 52.9% probability
- Javonte Williams: 50.3% probability
- Jerry Jeudy: 30.4% probability
- Russell Wilson: 20.7% probability
- Marvin Mims: 14.3% probability
Lions-Broncos Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected for 268 passing yards, while the Broncos' Russell Wilson is expected to throw for 209 yards.
Lions Starting QB
- Jared Goff: 268 projected passing yards
Broncos Starting QB
- Russell Wilson: 209 projected passing yards
Lions Rushing Yards
- David Montgomery: 60 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 45 projected yards
- Jared Goff: 7 projected yards
Broncos Rushing Yards
- Javonte Williams: 57 projected yards
- Russell Wilson: 22 projected yards
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 13 projected yards
Lions Receiving Yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 76 projected yards
- Sam LaPorta: 48 projected yards
- Josh Reynolds: 31 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 29 projected yards
- Kalif Raymond: 24 projected yards
Broncos Receiving Yards
- Courtland Sutton: 55 projected yards
- Jerry Jeudy: 44 projected yards
- Marvin Mims: 24 projected yards
- Javonte Williams: 17 projected yards
- Adam Trautman: 12 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Detroit vs Denver game at Ford Field.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Lions vs Broncos: Week 15 Preview
The NFL Week 15 game between the Lions and Broncos at Ford Field is scheduled to commence at 12:15pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos
- Date: Sunday 17 December 2023
- Time: 12:15pm AEDT
- Venue: Ford Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Detroit vs Denver predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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