Lions vs Buccaneers Prediction and Preview - NFL Divisional Round 2024

Last updated: Jan 21, 2024, 8:01PM | Published: Jan 16, 2024, 11:46AM

The Detroit Lions will sqaure off with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs at Ford Field on Monday, beginning at 7:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Lions vs Buccaneers game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Lions vs Buccaneers

Using detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Detroit-Tampa Bay NFL game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 71% chance of winning against the Buccaneers at Ford Field.

More: Lions vs Buccaneers Match Centre

Lions vs Buccaneers: Odds

The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Ford Field are listed below:

Head to Head: Lions $1.38, Buccaneers $3.55
Line: Lions -6.5 ($2.00), Buccaneers +6.5 ($1.97)
Total (Over/Under 49.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.98

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Lions at $1.38 and the Buccaneers at $3.55.

The Lions are 6.5-point favourites against the Buccaneers, with odds of $2.00 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the underdog Buccaneers (+6.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.97.

The Over/Under for Lions vs Buccaneers is set at 49.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.98.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Buccaneers (+6.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the 49.5-point Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

The best site to place a bet on the Lions vs Buccaneers game is Betfair, where you are able to wager against other sports fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.

More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports

Lions vs Buccaneers: Betting Tips

Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $3.55 with Betfair (1.1% edge)
Line: Buccaneers +6.5 at $1.97 with Betfair (53% probability)
Total Points: Over 49.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (50% probability)

These Lions vs Buccaneers predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Buccaneers to win is our preferred option due to the 1.1% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.

What could be better than using one of the world's leading predictive analytics models to bet on the NFL? Now, with this useful information, you can also bet on something not to happen.

Before you get started, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.

Lions vs Buccaneers: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Lions vs Buccaneers at Ford Field this Monday has the Lions winning 27-21.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Detroit vs Tampa Bay on Monday, including pre-game predictions, free tips, and live win probabilities.

Lions vs Buccaneers: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Lions vs Buccaneers? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Mike Evans is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Lions vs Buccaneers.

Evans has a 14.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Ford Field, while the Buccaneers WR has a 58.2% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Lions First TD Tips

David Montgomery: 13.8% probability
Amon-Ra St. Brown: 12.0% probability
Jahmyr Gibbs: 11.7% probability
Sam LaPorta: 6.8% probability
Jameson Williams: 3.1% probability

Buccaneers First TD Tips

Mike Evans: 14.1% probability
Rachaad White: 7.7% probability
Baker Mayfield: 5.7% probability
Chris Godwin: 4.4% probability
Chase Edmonds: 4.0% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Lions Anytime TD Tips

David Montgomery: 57.5% probability
Amon-Ra St. Brown: 51.8% probability
Jahmyr Gibbs: 51.2% probability
Sam LaPorta: 32.5% probability
Jameson Williams: 15.7% probability

Buccaneers Anytime TD Tips

Mike Evans: 58.2% probability
Rachaad White: 37.4% probability
Baker Mayfield: 29.5% probability
Chris Godwin: 21.9% probability
Chase Edmonds: 21.0% probability

Lions-Buccaneers Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected for 293 passing yards. The Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is expected to throw for 257 yards.

Lions Starting QB

Jared Goff: 293 projected passing yards

Buccaneers Starting QB

Baker Mayfield: 257 projected passing yards

Lions Rushing Yards

David Montgomery: 70 projected yards
Jahmyr Gibbs: 63 projected yards
Jared Goff: 7 projected yards

Buccaneers Rushing Yards

Rachaad White: 75 projected yards
Chase Edmonds: 19 projected yards
Baker Mayfield: 11 projected yards

Lions Receiving Yards

Amon-Ra St. Brown: 104 projected yards
Sam LaPorta: 51 projected yards
Josh Reynolds: 38 projected yards
Jameson Williams: 25 projected yards
Jahmyr Gibbs: 16 projected yards

Buccaneers Receiving Yards

Mike Evans: 71 projected yards
Chris Godwin: 51 projected yards
Cade Otton: 28 projected yards
Rachaad White: 27 projected yards
Trey Palmer: 23 projected yards

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Detroit vs Tampa Bay match-up at Ford Field.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Lions vs Buccaneers: Preview

The match-up between the Lions and Buccaneers at Ford Field is scheduled to start at 7:00am AEDT on Monday.

Teams: Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Playoff Round: NFL Divisional Round
Date: Monday 22 January 2024
Time: 7:00am AEDT
Venue: Ford Field

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

Our Detroit vs Tampa Bay predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.