Lions vs Commanders Prediction and Preview - NFL Divisional Round 2025
Last updated: Jan 16, 2025, 12:51PM | Published: Jan 14, 2025, 8:50AM
The Detroit Lions will sqaure off with the Washington Commanders in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs at Ford Field on Sunday, starting at 12:00pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Lions vs Commanders game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Detroit vs Washington NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 76% chance of defeating the Commanders at Ford Field.
Lions vs Commanders: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NFL game at Ford Field are shown here:
- Head to Head: Lions $1.18, Commanders $5.00
- Line: Lions -9.5 ($1.91), Commanders +9.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 55.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Lions at $1.18 and the Commanders at $5.00.
The Lions are 9.5-point favourites against the Commanders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Commanders (+9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 55.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Commanders (+9.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 55.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Lions vs Commanders: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Washington at $5.00 with Bet365
- Line: Commanders +9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 55.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Lions vs Commanders predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our recommended option because of the 4.3% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Lions vs Commanders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Lions vs Commanders at Ford Field on Sunday is the Lions winning 31-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Detroit vs Washington game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Lions vs Commanders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Lions vs Commanders? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Detroit's David Montgomery is the most likely player to score the first TD in Lions vs Commanders.
Montgomery has a 13.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Ford Field, while the Lions RB has a 57.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Lions First TD Tips
- David Montgomery: 13.0% probability
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 12.8% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 8.8% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 8.7% probability
- Jameson Williams: 6.4% probability
Commanders First TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 9.3% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 8.2% probability
- Austin Ekeler: 5.8% probability
- Brian Robinson: 5.7% probability
- Dyami Brown: 3.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Lions Anytime TD Tips
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 58.8% probability
- David Montgomery: 57.8% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 44.7% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 43.5% probability
- Jameson Williams: 34.5% probability
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 47.6% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 41.9% probability
- Austin Ekeler: 33.7% probability
- Brian Robinson: 33.0% probability
- Dyami Brown: 21.4% probability
Lions-Commanders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected for 269 passing yards. The Commanders' Jayden Daniels is expected to throw for 227 yards.
Lions Starting QB
- Jared Goff: 269 projected passing yards
Commanders Starting QB
- Jayden Daniels: 227 projected passing yards
Lions Rushing Yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 69 projected yards
- David Montgomery: 44 projected yards
- Craig Reynolds: 7 projected yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Brian Robinson: 52 projected yards
- Jayden Daniels: 42 projected yards
- Austin Ekeler: 25 projected yards
Lions Receiving Yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 74 projected yards
- Jameson Williams: 65 projected yards
- Sam LaPorta: 53 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 27 projected yards
- Tim Patrick: 26 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 80 projected yards
- Zach Ertz: 41 projected yards
- Dyami Brown: 32 projected yards
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 30 projected yards
- Austin Ekeler: 27 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Detroit vs Washington game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Lions vs Commanders: Essential Details
The match-up between the Lions and Commanders at Ford Field is scheduled to start at 12:00pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders
- Playoff Round: NFL Divisional Round
- Date: Sunday 19 January 2025
- Time: 12:00pm AEDT
- Venue: Ford Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Detroit vs Washington predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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