Lions vs Falcons Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 3, 2023
Last updated: Sep 24, 2023, 5:01PM | Published: Sep 19, 2023, 4:00AM
The Detroit Lions play the Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 3 action at Ford Field on Monday, starting at 3:00am AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Lions vs Falcons, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Lions vs Falcons
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Detroit-Atlanta NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 62% chance of beating the Falcons in Week 3 of the NFL season.
More: Lions vs Falcons Match Centre
Lions vs Falcons: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Ford Field are shown here:
- Head to Head: Lions $1.59, Falcons $2.50
- Line: Lions -3 ($1.91), Falcons +3 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 47.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Lions at $1.59 and the Falcons at $2.50.
The Lions are 3-point favourites against the Falcons, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at bet365.
For the underdog Falcons (+3) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 47.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91, while bet365 currently has odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Lions and the Falcons have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 47.5-point Over/Under has a 53% chance of staying Under.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Lions vs Falcons: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Detroit at $1.59 with bet365 (62% probability)
- Line: Falcons +3 at $1.95 with PointsBet (50% probability)
- Total Points: Under 47.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (53% probability)
Our Lions vs Falcons betting tips are based on detailed modelling and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Lions vs Falcons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Lions vs Falcons at Ford Field in Week 3 has the Lions prevailing 24-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Detroit vs Atlanta in Week 3, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Lions vs Falcons: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Lions vs Falcons? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first TD in Lions vs Falcons.
Robinson has a 12.8% chance of getting in for six first at Ford Field, while the Falcons RB has a 52.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Lions First TD Tips
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 10.2% probability
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 10.0% probability
- Josh Reynolds: 7.9% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 5.6% probability
- Kalif Raymond: 5.1% probability
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 12.8% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 8.8% probability
- Drake London: 7.6% probability
- Cordarrelle Patterson: 4.8% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 4.2% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Lions Anytime TD Tips
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 44.4% probability
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 43.3% probability
- Josh Reynolds: 36.0% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 26.8% probability
- Kalif Raymond: 25.7% probability
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 52.7% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 39.7% probability
- Drake London: 33.6% probability
- Cordarrelle Patterson: 23.5% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 20.6% probability
Lions-Falcons Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected for 269 passing yards, while the Falcons' Desmond Ridder is expected to throw for 189 yards.
Lions Starting QB
- Jared Goff: 269 projected passing yards
Falcons Starting QB
- Desmond Ridder: 189 projected passing yards
Lions Rushing Yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 58 projected yards
- Craig Reynolds: 25 projected yards
- Zonovan Knight: 10 projected yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 78 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 63 projected yards
- Desmond Ridder: 17 projected yards
Lions Receiving Yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 76 projected yards
- Josh Reynolds: 47 projected yards
- Kalif Raymond: 34 projected yards
- Sam LaPorta: 34 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 30 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 58 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 39 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 27 projected yards
- Mack Hollins: 24 projected yards
- Jonnu Smith: 15 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Detroit vs Atlanta game at Ford Field.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Lions vs Falcons: Week 3 Preview
The NFL Week 3 match-up between the Lions and Falcons at Ford Field is scheduled to start at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Monday 25 September 2023
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: Ford Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Detroit vs Atlanta have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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