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Lions vs Jaguars Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2024

The Detroit Lions will take on the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL Week 11 action at Ford Field on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Lions vs Jaguars game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Detroit vs Jacksonville NFL game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions an 88% chance of beating the Jaguars at Ford Field.

Lions vs Jaguars: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Ford Field are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Lions $1.12, Jaguars $6.75
  • Line: Lions -14 ($1.91), Jaguars +14 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 47 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Lions at $1.12 and the Jaguars at $6.75.

The Lions are 14-point favourites against the Jaguars, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Jaguars (+14) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 47 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Jaguars (+14) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 47-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Lions vs Jaguars: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Detroit at $1.12 with Bet365
  • Line: Jaguars +14 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 47 at $1.91 with Bet365

 
Today's Lions vs Jaguars best bets are based on market-leading modelling and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7.

Lions vs Jaguars: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Lions vs Jaguars at Ford Field in Week 11 is the Lions winning 29-17.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Detroit vs Jacksonville game in Week 11, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Lions vs Jaguars: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Lions vs Jaguars? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Detroit's David Montgomery is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Lions vs Jaguars.

Montgomery has a 17.0% chance of getting in for six first at Ford Field, while the Lions RB has a 62.8% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Lions First TD Tips

  • David Montgomery: 17.0% probability
  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 14.6% probability
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 9.5% probability
  • Jameson Williams: 7.3% probability
  • Sam LaPorta: 5.7% probability

Jaguars First TD Tips

  • Brian Thomas: 6.6% probability
  • Tank Bigsby: 5.8% probability
  • Evan Engram: 4.7% probability
  • Gabe Davis: 4.6% probability
  • Travis Etienne: 4.3% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Lions Anytime TD Tips

  • David Montgomery: 62.8% probability
  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 56.5% probability
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 42.6% probability
  • Jameson Williams: 34.5% probability
  • Sam LaPorta: 28.5% probability

Jaguars Anytime TD Tips

  • Brian Thomas: 32.2% probability
  • Tank Bigsby: 27.4% probability
  • Evan Engram: 24.3% probability
  • Gabe Davis: 24.1% probability
  • Travis Etienne: 22.1% probability

Lions-Jaguars Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected for 225 passing yards. The Jaguars' Mac Jones is expected to throw for just 167 yards.

Lions Starting QB

  • Jared Goff: 225 projected passing yards

Jaguars Starting QB

  • Mac Jones: 167 projected passing yards

Lions Rushing Yards

  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 62 projected yards
  • David Montgomery: 61 projected yards
  • Jared Goff: 7 projected yards

Jaguars Rushing Yards

  • Travis Etienne: 41 projected yards
  • Tank Bigsby: 36 projected yards
  • Mac Jones: 11 projected yards

Lions Receiving Yards

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 76 projected yards
  • Jameson Williams: 40 projected yards
  • Sam LaPorta: 33 projected yards
  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 24 projected yards
  • Tim Patrick: 19 projected yards

Jaguars Receiving Yards

  • Brian Thomas: 54 projected yards
  • Evan Engram: 47 projected yards
  • Gabe Davis: 41 projected yards
  • Parker Washington: 26 projected yards
  • Travis Etienne: 25 projected yards

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Detroit vs Jacksonville game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Lions vs Jaguars: Week 11 Essential Details

The NFL Week 11 match-up between the Lions and Jaguars at Ford Field is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Detroit vs Jacksonville predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl odds for the NFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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