Lions vs Jaguars Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2024
Last updated: Nov 17, 2024, 6:01PM | Published: Nov 11, 2024, 5:16AM
The Detroit Lions will sqaure off with the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL Week 11 action at Ford Field on Monday, beginning at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Lions vs Jaguars game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Detroit vs Jacksonville NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Lions an 88% chance of defeating the Jaguars at Ford Field.
Lions vs Jaguars: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Ford Field are listed below:
- Head to Head: Lions $1.11, Jaguars $7.00
- Line: Lions -13.5 ($1.91), Jaguars +13.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 47.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Lions at $1.11 and the Jaguars at $7.00.
The Lions are listed as 13.5-point favourites against the Jaguars, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Jaguars (+13.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Jaguars (+13.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 47.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Lions vs Jaguars: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Jacksonville at $7.00 with Bet365
- Line: Jaguars +13.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 47.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Jaguars to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Lions vs Jaguars: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Lions vs Jaguars at Ford Field in Week 11 is the Lions prevailing 30-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Detroit vs Jacksonville game in Week 11, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Lions vs Jaguars prediction.
Lions vs Jaguars: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Lions vs Jaguars? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Detroit's David Montgomery is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Lions vs Jaguars.
Montgomery has a 16.6% chance of getting in for six first at Ford Field, while the Lions RB has a 64.1% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Lions First TD Tips
- David Montgomery: 16.6% probability
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 14.7% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 10.2% probability
- Jameson Williams: 7.7% probability
- Brock Wright: 3.7% probability
Jaguars First TD Tips
- Travis Etienne: 8.3% probability
- Brian Thomas: 6.1% probability
- Evan Engram: 5.0% probability
- Gabe Davis: 4.7% probability
- Parker Washington: 3.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Lions Anytime TD Tips
- David Montgomery: 64.1% probability
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 57.1% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 44.2% probability
- Jameson Williams: 35.1% probability
- Brock Wright: 18.9% probability
Jaguars Anytime TD Tips
- Travis Etienne: 38.1% probability
- Brian Thomas: 31.7% probability
- Evan Engram: 25.9% probability
- Gabe Davis: 23.8% probability
- Parker Washington: 19.7% probability
Lions-Jaguars Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected for 225 passing yards, while the Jaguars' Mac Jones is expected to throw for just 168 yards.
Lions Starting QB
- Jared Goff: 225 projected passing yards
Jaguars Starting QB
- Mac Jones: 168 projected passing yards
Lions Rushing Yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 62 projected yards
- David Montgomery: 61 projected yards
- Jared Goff: 7 projected yards
Jaguars Rushing Yards
- Travis Etienne: 54 projected yards
- D'Ernest Johnson: 20 projected yards
- Mac Jones: 11 projected yards
Lions Receiving Yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 77 projected yards
- Jameson Williams: 40 projected yards
- Brock Wright: 28 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 24 projected yards
- Tim Patrick: 19 projected yards
Jaguars Receiving Yards
- Brian Thomas: 54 projected yards
- Evan Engram: 48 projected yards
- Gabe Davis: 41 projected yards
- Parker Washington: 26 projected yards
- Travis Etienne: 25 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Detroit vs Jacksonville game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Lions vs Jaguars: Week 11 Essential Details
The NFL Week 11 game between the Lions and Jaguars at Ford Field is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars
- Date: Monday 18 November 2024
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Ford Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Detroit vs Jacksonville predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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