Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Prediction and NHL Betting Tips - 9 April 2023
Apr 7, 2023, 5:09PM
The Toronto Maple Leafs play the Montreal Canadiens in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday, beginning at 9:00am AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Maple Leafs vs Canadiens, plus the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured below.
Who will win? Maple Leafs vs Canadiens
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Toronto-Montreal NHL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Maple Leafs a 71% chance of defeating the Canadiens at Scotiabank Arena.
More: Full Betting Guide for Maple Leafs vs Canadiens
Toronto vs Montreal Latest Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NHL game at Scotiabank Arena are listed below:
- Head to Head: Maple Leafs $1.28, Canadiens $3.90
- Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 ($1.74), Canadiens +1.5 ($2.20)
- Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.83, Under $2.00
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Maple Leafs to win at $1.28. Meanwhile, bet365 currently has the Canadiens to win at $3.90.
The Maple Leafs are listed as 1.5-goal favourites against the Canadiens, with odds of $1.74 currently available at PointsBet.
For the underdog Canadiens (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $2.20.
The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 6.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.83, while PointsBet currently has odds for the Under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Maple Leafs and the Canadiens have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 6.5-goal Over/Under is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Predictions for Every NHL Game
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Montreal at $3.90 with bet365 (3.2% edge)
- Line: Canadiens +1.5 at $2.20 with bet365 (50% probability) 🔥
- Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $2.00 with PointsBet (50% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
These Maple Leafs vs Canadiens predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Maple Leafs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Canadiens to win is our preferred option due to the 3.2% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens NHL Prediction
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Toronto vs Montreal on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs Canadiens? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs Canadiens.
Matthews has a 13.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star has a 57.3% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 13.4% probability
- Mitchell Marner: 7.9% probability
- John Tavares: 6.5% probability
- William Nylander: 6.5% probability
- Ryan O'Reilly: 4.8% probability
Canadiens First Goal Scorer Tips
- Rafael Harvey-Pinard: 4.7% probability
- Brendan Gallagher: 4.2% probability
- Nick Suzuki: 4.0% probability
- Mike Hoffman: 3.8% probability
- Denis Gurianov: 3.2% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 57.3% probability
- Mitchell Marner: 37.8% probability
- William Nylander: 35.1% probability
- John Tavares: 34.8% probability
- Ryan O'Reilly: 26.9% probability
Canadiens Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Rafael Harvey-Pinard: 28.7% probability
- Nick Suzuki: 23.5% probability
- Mike Hoffman: 22.8% probability
- Brendan Gallagher: 22.1% probability
- Jesse Ylonen: 18.5% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Toronto vs Montreal match-up at Scotiabank Arena.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens NHL 2023
The match-up between the Maple Leafs and Canadiens at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to start at 9:00am AEST on Sunday.
- Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens
- Date: Sunday 9 April 2023
- Time: 9:00am AEST
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
More About NHL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, predictions for every NHL game, and futures probabilities for the NHL.
