Maple Leafs vs Lightning Prediction and NHL Betting Tips - 21 April 2023
Apr 19, 2023, 11:16AM
The Toronto Maple Leafs square off with the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Friday, commencing at 9:00am AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Maple Leafs vs Lightning, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who will win? Maple Leafs vs Lightning
Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Toronto-Tampa Bay NHL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 57% chance of winning against the Lightning at Scotiabank Arena.
More: Full Betting Guide for Maple Leafs vs Lightning
Toronto vs Tampa Bay Latest Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's NHL game at Scotiabank Arena are shown below:
- Head to Head: Maple Leafs $1.59, Lightning $2.70
- Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 ($2.60), Lightning +1.5 ($1.56)
- Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.95, Under $1.80
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Maple Leafs to win at $1.59. Meanwhile, bet365 currently has the Lightning to win at $2.70.
The Maple Leafs are listed as 1.5-goal favourites against the Lightning, with odds of $2.60 currently available at bet365.
For the underdog Lightning (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.56.
The Over/Under for Maple Leafs vs Lightning sits at 6.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $1.80.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 54% chance of staying Under.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Maple Leafs vs Lightning NHL Best Bets
- Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $2.70 with bet365 (5.9% edge) 🔥
- Line: Lightning +1.5 at $1.56 with bet365 (65% probability)
- Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $1.80 with PointsBet (54% probability)
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across all sports.
Today's Maple Leafs vs Lightning best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Maple Leafs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Lightning to win is our recommended option because of the 5.9% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Maple Leafs vs Lightning Prediction
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Toronto vs Tampa Bay on Friday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Maple Leafs vs Lightning Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs Lightning? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs Lightning.
Matthews has a 12.0% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star has a 51.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 12.0% probability
- Mitchell Marner: 6.7% probability
- William Nylander: 6.6% probability
- John Tavares: 6.3% probability
- Ryan O'Reilly: 4.5% probability
Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips
- Steven Stamkos: 6.4% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 6.1% probability
- Brayden Point: 6.0% probability
- Alex Killorn: 3.9% probability
- Victor Hedman: 2.9% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 51.1% probability
- Mitchell Marner: 34.2% probability
- William Nylander: 33.8% probability
- John Tavares: 31.9% probability
- Ryan O'Reilly: 24.3% probability
Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Steven Stamkos: 33.7% probability
- Brayden Point: 33.0% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 28.4% probability
- Alex Killorn: 21.6% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 17.5% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Toronto vs Tampa Bay match-up at Scotiabank Arena.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Maple Leafs vs Lightning NHL 2023
The game between the Maple Leafs and Lightning at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:00am AEST on Friday.
- Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Friday 21 April 2023
- Time: 9:00am AEST
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
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