Maple Leafs vs Lightning Prediction and NHL Tips - 4 April 2024
Last updated: Apr 3, 2024, 11:09PM | Published: Apr 2, 2024, 4:47PM
The Toronto Maple Leafs will play the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday, beginning at 10:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Maple Leafs vs Lightning game, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Maple Leafs vs Lightning
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Toronto-Tampa Bay NHL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Maple Leafs a 52% chance of beating the Lightning at Scotiabank Arena.
More: Maple Leafs vs Lightning Match Centre
Maple Leafs vs Lightning: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Thursday's NHL game at Scotiabank Arena are shown below:
- Head to Head: Maple Leafs $1.98, Lightning $2.00
- Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 ($3.15), Lightning +1.5 ($1.39)
- Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.92, Under $1.97
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Maple Leafs at $1.98 and the Lightning at $2.00.
The Maple Leafs are listed as 1.5-goal favourites against the Lightning, with odds of $3.15 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Lightning (+1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.39.
The Over/Under for Maple Leafs vs Lightning sits at 6.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.92 and odds for the Under at $1.97.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Maple Leafs vs Lightning: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Toronto at $1.98 with Betfair (52% probability)
- Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 at $3.15 with Betfair (0.7% edge)
- Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $1.97 with Betfair (51% probability)
Today's Maple Leafs vs Lightning predictions are based on market-leading simulations and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
Even though the Lightning are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Maple Leafs -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Maple Leafs vs Lightning: Prediction
Stats Insider has full coverage of Toronto vs Tampa Bay on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
Maple Leafs vs Lightning: Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs Lightning? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs Lightning.
Matthews has a 10.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star has a 47.5% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 10.4% probability
- William Nylander: 7.1% probability
- Bobby McMann: 6.4% probability
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 5.9% probability
- John Tavares: 5.2% probability
Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 8.2% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 5.8% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 5.4% probability
- Anthony Duclair: 5.3% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 5.2% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 47.5% probability
- William Nylander: 37.0% probability
- Bobby McMann: 31.2% probability
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 29.7% probability
- John Tavares: 29.5% probability
Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 38.9% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 30.1% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 28.9% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 27.2% probability
- Anthony Duclair: 26.8% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Toronto vs Tampa Bay game at Scotiabank Arena.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NHL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Maple Leafs vs Lightning: Preview
The game between the Maple Leafs and Lightning at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00am AEDT on Thursday.
- Teams: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Thursday 4 April 2024
- Time: 10:00am AEDT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our Toronto vs Tampa Bay predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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