Maple Leafs vs Penguins Prediction and NHL Tips - 17 December 2023
Last updated: Dec 17, 2023, 12:21AM | Published: Dec 15, 2023, 7:31PM
The Toronto Maple Leafs will square off with the Pittsburgh Penguins in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday, starting at 11:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Maple Leafs vs Penguins game, plus the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Maple Leafs vs Penguins
Based on high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Toronto-Pittsburgh NHL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 53% chance of defeating the Penguins at Scotiabank Arena.
More: Maple Leafs vs Penguins Match Centre
Maple Leafs vs Penguins: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NHL game at Scotiabank Arena are listed here:
- Head to Head: Maple Leafs $1.95, Penguins $1.95
- Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 ($3.05), Penguins +1.5 ($1.38)
- Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $2.02, Under $1.95
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Maple Leafs at $1.95. Meanwhile, bet365 currently has the Penguins at $1.95.
The Maple Leafs are listed as 1.5-goal favourites against the Penguins, with odds of $3.05 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Penguins (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.38.
The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 6.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.02, while PointsBet currently has odds for the Under at $1.95.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 54% chance of staying Under.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Maple Leafs vs Penguins: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Toronto at $1.95 with Betfair (53% probability) 🔥
- Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 at $3.05 with Betfair (1.8% edge)
- Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $1.95 with PointsBet (54% probability)
Any time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across any sport.
Stats Insider's Maple Leafs vs Penguins best bets are based on complex simulations and betting experience to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
Although the Penguins are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Maple Leafs -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Maple Leafs vs Penguins: Prediction
For more information, click or tap on See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Toronto vs Pittsburgh on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Maple Leafs vs Penguins: Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs Penguins? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs Penguins.
Matthews has a 12.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star has a 54.2% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 12.3% probability
- William Nylander: 6.9% probability
- Mitchell Marner: 5.6% probability
- John Tavares: 4.8% probability
- Calle Jarnkrok: 4.4% probability
Penguins First Goal Scorer Tips
- Sidney Crosby: 9.0% probability
- Jake Guentzel: 9.0% probability
- Evgeni Malkin: 5.7% probability
- Reilly Smith: 5.2% probability
- Erik Karlsson: 3.6% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 54.2% probability
- William Nylander: 38.3% probability
- Mitchell Marner: 33.8% probability
- John Tavares: 29.4% probability
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 25.8% probability
Penguins Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Jake Guentzel: 45.8% probability
- Sidney Crosby: 43.7% probability
- Evgeni Malkin: 32.6% probability
- Reilly Smith: 28.5% probability
- Erik Karlsson: 25.1% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Toronto vs Pittsburgh game at Scotiabank Arena.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Maple Leafs vs Penguins: Preview
The game between the Maple Leafs and Penguins at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 11:00am AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins
- Date: Sunday 17 December 2023
- Time: 11:00am AEDT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Toronto vs Pittsburgh predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NHL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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