Maple Leafs vs Senators Prediction and NHL Tips - 28 December 2023

Last updated: Dec 27, 2023, 10:31PM | Published: Dec 27, 2023, 2:33PM

The Toronto Maple Leafs will play the Ottawa Senators in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday, beginning at 11:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Maple Leafs vs Senators game, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed below.

Who Will Win: Maple Leafs vs Senators

Using state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Toronto-Ottawa NHL match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Maple Leafs a 59% chance of beating the Senators at Scotiabank Arena.

More: Maple Leafs vs Senators Match Centre

Maple Leafs vs Senators: Odds

The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Thursday's NHL game at Scotiabank Arena are shown here:

Head to Head: Maple Leafs $1.72, Senators $2.36
Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 ($2.59), Senators +1.5 ($1.60)
Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.68, Under $2.34

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Maple Leafs at $1.72 and the Senators at $2.36.

The Maple Leafs are listed as 1.5-goal favourites against the Senators, with odds of $2.59 currently available at Betfair.

For the underdog Senators (+1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.60.

The Over/Under for total goals scored has been set at 6.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.68 and odds for the Under at $2.34.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 52% chance of going Over.

The best site for placing bets on the Maple Leafs vs Senators game is Betfair, where you are able to wager against other sports fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.

More: Live Scores for All Sports

Maple Leafs vs Senators: Best Bets

Head to Head: Toronto at $1.72 with Betfair (59% probability)
Line: Senators +1.5 at $1.60 with Betfair (62% probability)
Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $2.34 with Betfair (5.5% edge) 🔥

Every time you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best tips for today across all sports.

These Maple Leafs vs Senators predictions are based on market-leading simulations and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.

Despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 6.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.34) that are available from Betfair.

What's better than using one of the world's best predictive analytics models to bet on the NHL? Now, with this useful information, you can also bet on something not to happen.

Before you get started, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.

Maple Leafs vs Senators: Prediction

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Toronto vs Ottawa on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Maple Leafs vs Senators: Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs Senators? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs Senators.

Matthews has a 12.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star has a 56.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips

Auston Matthews: 12.8% probability
William Nylander: 7.0% probability
Mitchell Marner: 5.5% probability
John Tavares: 4.6% probability
Calle Jarnkrok: 4.2% probability

Senators First Goal Scorer Tips

Tim Stutzle: 5.7% probability
Claude Giroux: 5.5% probability
Josh Norris: 5.4% probability
Brady Tkachuk: 4.8% probability
Drake Batherson: 4.4% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Auston Matthews: 56.6% probability
William Nylander: 36.9% probability
Mitchell Marner: 32.1% probability
John Tavares: 28.7% probability
Tyler Bertuzzi: 25.7% probability

Senators Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Tim Stutzle: 33.8% probability
Josh Norris: 31.5% probability
Claude Giroux: 31.2% probability
Brady Tkachuk: 30.6% probability
Vladimir Tarasenko: 26.6% probability

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Toronto vs Ottawa match-up at Scotiabank Arena.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Maple Leafs vs Senators: Preview

The game between the Maple Leafs and Senators at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to start at 11:00am AEDT on Thursday.

Teams: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators
Date: Thursday 28 December 2023
Time: 11:00am AEDT
Venue: Scotiabank Arena

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

Our Toronto vs Ottawa predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our NHL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.