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Marlins vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 3 April 2025

The Miami Marlins will take on the favoured New York Mets in MLB action at loanDepot park on Thursday, beginning at 7:40am AEDT.

Connor Gillispie (0-1, 5.40 ERA) will be on the bump for the Marlins, pitting him against Clay Holmes (0-1, 3.86 ERA) for the Mets.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Marlins vs Mets game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Miami vs NY Mets MLB game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 64% chance of beating the Marlins at loanDepot park.

Marlins vs Mets: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at loanDepot park are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Marlins $2.73, Mets $1.48
  • Line: Marlins +1.5 ($2.01), Mets -1.5 ($1.83)
  • Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Marlins at $2.73 and the Mets at $1.48.

The Marlins are 1.5-run underdogs against the Mets, with odds of $2.01 available at TAB.

For the favourite Mets (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.83.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Mets (-1.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.

Marlins vs Mets: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Miami at $2.73 with TAB
  • Line: Marlins +1.5 at $2.01 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB

Stats Insider's Marlins vs Mets predictions are based on complex modelling and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

And while the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Marlins to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.

Even though the Mets are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Marlins +1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.

Marlins vs Mets: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Miami vs NY Mets game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Miami vs NY Mets game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Marlins vs Mets: Essential Details

The match-up between the Marlins and Mets at loanDepot park is scheduled to commence at 7:40am AEDT on Thursday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Miami vs NY Mets predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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