Marlins vs Red Sox Prediction and MLB Tips - 4 July 2024
Last updated: Jul 3, 2024, 10:34PM | Published: Jul 2, 2024, 7:30PM
The Miami Marlins will face the Boston Red Sox in MLB action at loanDepot park on Thursday, starting at 8:40am AEST.
The Marlins will have Trevor Rogers (1-8, 4.87 ERA) start, while the Red Sox are going with Brayan Bello (7-5, 5.55 ERA).
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Marlins vs Red Sox game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Marlins vs Red Sox
Using high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Miami-Boston MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Red Sox a 51% chance of defeating the Marlins at loanDepot park.
More: Marlins vs Red Sox Match Centre
Marlins vs Red Sox: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at loanDepot park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Marlins $2.05, Red Sox $1.75
- Line: Marlins +1.5 ($1.65), Red Sox -1.5 ($2.25)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Marlins at $2.05 and the Red Sox at $1.75.
The Marlins are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Red Sox, with odds of $1.65 currently on offer at TAB.
For the favourite Red Sox (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $2.25.
The over/under for Marlins vs Red Sox has been set at 7.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.91 and odds for the under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 52% chance of going Over.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Marlins vs Red Sox: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Miami at $2.05 with (2.7% edge)
- Line: Marlins +1.5 at $1.65 with TAB (61% probability)
- Total Runs: Under 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Marlins vs Red Sox betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Red Sox have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Marlins to win is our recommended option due to the 2.7% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 7.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($1.91) that are available from TAB.
Marlins vs Red Sox: Prediction
Stats Insider has full coverage of Miami vs Boston on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Miami vs Boston game at loanDepot park.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Marlins vs Red Sox: Preview
The game between the Marlins and Red Sox at loanDepot park is scheduled to commence at 8:40am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox
- Date: Thursday 4 July 2024
- Time: 8:40am AEST
- Venue: loanDepot park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our Miami vs Boston predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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