Melbourne vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 19, 2023
Last updated: Jul 22, 2023, 1:55PM | Published: Jul 17, 2023, 1:20AM
Melbourne squares off with Adelaide in AFL Round 19 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, starting at 3:20pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Melbourne vs Adelaide, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 19, 2023
Who Will Win: Melbourne vs Adelaide
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Melbourne-Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Demons a 78% chance of defeating the Crows in Round 19 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Melbourne vs Adelaide Match Centre
Melbourne vs Adelaide: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Melbourne $1.33, Adelaide $3.95
- Line: Melbourne -23.5 ($1.87), Adelaide +23.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 166.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.89
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Melbourne at $1.33 and Adelaide at $3.95.
The Demons are listed as 23.5-point favourites against the Crows, with odds of $1.87 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Crows (+23.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 166.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.89.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Crows (+23.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the 166.5-point Over/Under has a 53% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Melbourne vs Adelaide: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Melbourne at $1.33 with Betfair (78% probability)
- Line: Adelaide +23.5 at $1.95 with Betfair (53% probability)
- Total Points: Under 166.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (53% probability)
These Melbourne vs Adelaide best bets are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 19
Melbourne vs Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Melbourne vs Adelaide at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday has Melbourne winning 92-72.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Melbourne vs Adelaide on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live scores.
Melbourne vs Adelaide: Goal Scorers
Searching for Melbourne vs Adelaide goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Melbourne's Ben Brown is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Melbourne vs Adelaide.
Brown has a 6.1% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Demons star has an 84.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Melbourne
- Ben Brown: 6.1% probability
- Jake Melksham: 5.9% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 5.8% probability
- Christian Petracca: 5.2% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 4.0% probability
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 5.3% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 4.7% probability
- Izak Rankine: 4.6% probability
- Shane McAdam: 4.4% probability
- Luke Pedlar: 2.9% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Melbourne
- Ben Brown: 84.0% probability
- Jake Melksham: 80.7% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 79.1% probability
- Christian Petracca: 79.0% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 67.3% probability
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 79.3% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 74.6% probability
- Izak Rankine: 71.4% probability
- Shane McAdam: 69.0% probability
- Ben Keays: 56.3% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Melbourne vs Adelaide match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023
Melbourne vs Adelaide: Preview
The AFL Round 19 clash between the Demons and Crows at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Melbourne vs Adelaide
- Date: Sunday 23 July 2023
- Time: 3:20pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Melbourne vs Adelaide are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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