Melbourne vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 5, 2025
Apr 7, 2025, 6:20AM
Melbourne will sqaure off with Essendon in AFL Round 5 action at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, beginning at 7:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Melbourne vs Essendon game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Melbourne vs Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Bombers a 61% chance of winning against the Demons in Round 5 of the 2025 AFL season.
Melbourne vs Essendon: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed below:
- Head to Head: Melbourne $1.90, Essendon $1.95
- Line: Melbourne -1.5 ($1.91), Essendon +1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 171.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Melbourne at $1.90 and Essendon at $1.95.
The Demons are 1.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bombers (+1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 171.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 63% of the time, while the 171.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 57% of the time.
Melbourne vs Essendon: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Essendon at $1.95 with Bet365
- Line: Essendon +1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 171.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.
Today's Melbourne vs Essendon betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Melbourne vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Melbourne vs Essendon at Adelaide Oval on Saturday is Essendon winning 87-80.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Melbourne vs Essendon match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Melbourne vs Essendon game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Melbourne vs Essendon: Essential Details
The AFL Round 5 clash between the Demons and Bombers at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to commence at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Melbourne vs Essendon predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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