Melbourne vs Fremantle Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 12, 2024
Last updated: Jun 2, 2024, 2:33AM | Published: May 26, 2024, 1:37PM
Melbourne will sqaure off with Fremantle in AFL Round 12 action at TIO Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Melbourne vs Fremantle game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Melbourne vs Fremantle
Using high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Melbourne-Fremantle AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Demons a 63% chance of beating the Dockers in Round 12 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Melbourne vs Fremantle Match Centre
Melbourne vs Fremantle: Odds
The current betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at TIO Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Melbourne $1.60, Fremantle $2.52
- Line: Melbourne -11.5 ($2.06), Fremantle +11.5 ($1.89)
- Total (Over/Under 153.5 Points): Over $1.94, Under $2.04
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Melbourne at $1.60 and Fremantle at $2.52.
The Demons are 11.5-point favourites against the Dockers, with odds of $2.06 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Dockers (+11.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.89.
The over/under for Melbourne vs Fremantle has been set at 153.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.94 and odds for the under at $2.04.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dockers (+11.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 153.5 points has a 53% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Fixture Difficulty 2024
Melbourne vs Fremantle: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Melbourne at $1.60 with Betfair (63% probability)
- Line: Fremantle +11.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (53% probability)
- Total Points: Under 153.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (53% probability)
Today's Melbourne vs Fremantle best bets are based on market-leading modelling and betting intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Melbourne vs Fremantle: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Melbourne vs Fremantle at TIO Stadium this Sunday has Melbourne winning 80-71.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Melbourne vs Fremantle on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Melbourne vs Fremantle: Goal Kickers
Searching for Melbourne vs Fremantle goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Melbourne's Bayley Fritsch is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Melbourne vs Fremantle.
Fritsch has a 7.3% chance of kicking the first goal at TIO Stadium, while the Demons star has an 83.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 7.3% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 5.9% probability
- Christian Petracca: 5.7% probability
- Shane McAdam: 5.2% probability
- Harrison Petty: 4.4% probability
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 6.3% probability
- Sam Sturt: 4.5% probability
- Josh Treacy: 4.5% probability
- Michael Frederick: 4.1% probability
- Michael Walters: 3.7% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 83.9% probability
- Christian Petracca: 79.3% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 75.9% probability
- Shane McAdam: 72.5% probability
- Harrison Petty: 66.0% probability
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 78.9% probability
- Josh Treacy: 67.9% probability
- Sam Sturt: 66.5% probability
- Michael Frederick: 62.8% probability
- Michael Walters: 58.2% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Melbourne vs Fremantle game at TIO Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Melbourne vs Fremantle: Preview
The AFL Round 12 clash between the Demons and Dockers at TIO Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our Melbourne vs Fremantle predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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