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Melbourne vs North Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 15, 2024

Melbourne will sqaure off with North Melbourne in AFL Round 15 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 7:30pm AEST.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Melbourne vs North Melbourne game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.

Who Will Win: Melbourne vs North Melbourne

Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Melbourne-North Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Demons a 77% chance of winning against the Kangaroos at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.

More: Melbourne vs North Melbourne Match Centre

Melbourne vs North Melbourne: Odds

The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Melbourne $1.23, North Melbourne $5.10
  • Line: Melbourne -28.5 ($1.92), North Melbourne +28.5 ($2.04)
  • Total (Over/Under 166.5 Points): Over $2.16, Under $1.82

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Melbourne at $1.23 and North Melbourne at $5.10.

The Demons are 28.5-point favourites against the Kangaroos, with odds of $1.92 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the underdog Kangaroos (+28.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.04.

The over/under for total points scored has been set at 166.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $2.16 and odds for the under at $1.82.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Kangaroos (+28.5) have a 61% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 166.5 points has a 56% chance of staying Under.

More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports

Melbourne vs North Melbourne: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: North Melbourne at $5.10 with Betfair (3.1% edge)
  • Line: N Melbourne +28.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (61% probability) 🔥
  • Total Points: Under 166.5 at $1.82 with Betfair (56% probability)

Any time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips of the day across all sports.

Our Melbourne vs North Melbourne predictions are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.

While the Demons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Kangaroos to win is our recommended option because of the 3.1% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a punter.

Melbourne vs North Melbourne: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Melbourne vs North Melbourne at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday has Melbourne winning 91-71.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Melbourne vs North Melbourne on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live scores.

Melbourne vs North Melbourne: Goal Kickers

Searching for Melbourne vs North Melbourne goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Melbourne's Bayley Fritsch is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Melbourne vs North Melbourne.

Fritsch has an 8.9% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Demons star has a 92.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.

Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Melbourne

  • Bayley Fritsch: 8.9% probability
  • Kysaiah Pickett: 7.3% probability
  • Jacob van Rooyen: 6.3% probability
  • Koltyn Tholstrup: 4.0% probability
  • Harrison Petty: 3.5% probability

North Melbourne

  • Nick Larkey: 7.1% probability
  • Cameron Zurhaar: 5.8% probability
  • Paul Curtis: 4.4% probability
  • Eddie Ford: 3.2% probability
  • Luke Davies-Uniacke: 2.0% probability

Anytime Goal Kicker Tips

Melbourne

  • Bayley Fritsch: 92.2% probability
  • Kysaiah Pickett: 87.3% probability
  • Jacob van Rooyen: 85.1% probability
  • Koltyn Tholstrup: 65.0% probability
  • Harrison Petty: 62.5% probability

North Melbourne

  • Nick Larkey: 87.6% probability
  • Cameron Zurhaar: 81.8% probability
  • Paul Curtis: 68.5% probability
  • Eddie Ford: 58.9% probability
  • Jy Simpkin: 45.7% probability

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Melbourne vs North Melbourne game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Player Ratings 2024

Melbourne vs North Melbourne: Preview

The AFL Round 15 clash between the Demons and Kangaroos at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Our Melbourne vs North Melbourne predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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