Melbourne vs Port Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 22, 2024
Last updated: Aug 10, 2024, 9:00AM | Published: Aug 4, 2024, 2:03PM
Melbourne will face the favoured Port Adelaide in AFL Round 22 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Melbourne vs Port Adelaide game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Melbourne vs Port Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Power a 66% chance of beating the Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Melbourne vs Port Adelaide: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Melbourne $3.05, Port Adelaide $1.48
- Line: Melbourne +16.5 ($1.82), Port Adelaide -16.5 ($2.12)
- Total (Over/Under 164.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.92
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Melbourne at $3.05 and Port Adelaide at $1.48.
The Demons are listed as 16.5-point underdogs against the Power, with odds of $1.82 available at Betfair.
For the favourite Power (-16.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $2.12.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 164.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $1.90 for the over and $1.92 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Demons (+16.5) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 164.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Melbourne vs Port Adelaide: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Melbourne at $3.05 with Betfair (1.7% edge)
- Line: Melbourne +16.5 at $1.82 with Betfair (58% probability)
- Total Points: Under 164.5 at $1.92 with Betfair (52% probability)
Stats Insider's Melbourne vs Port Adelaide best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Power have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Demons to win is our preferred option due to the 1.7% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Melbourne vs Port Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Melbourne vs Port Adelaide at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday is Port Adelaide winning 87-76.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Melbourne vs Port Adelaide match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Melbourne vs Port Adelaide: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Melbourne vs Port Adelaide goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, P Adelaide's Todd Marshall is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Melbourne vs Port Adelaide.
Marshall has a 6.8% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Power star has an 84.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 6.0% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 5.2% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 5.1% probability
- Jake Melksham: 4.3% probability
- Harrison Petty: 3.1% probability
Port Adelaide
- Todd Marshall: 6.8% probability
- Charlie Dixon: 6.3% probability
- Willie Rioli: 5.7% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 5.2% probability
- Darcy Byrne-Jones: 3.7% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 82.8% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 77.6% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 74.9% probability
- Jake Melksham: 71.9% probability
- Harrison Petty: 58.3% probability
Port Adelaide
- Todd Marshall: 84.0% probability
- Charlie Dixon: 81.1% probability
- Willie Rioli: 79.5% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 75.3% probability
- Darcy Byrne-Jones: 65.5% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Melbourne vs Port Adelaide game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Melbourne vs Port Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 22 clash between the Demons and Power at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Melbourne vs Port Adelaide
- Date: Saturday 10 August 2024
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our Melbourne vs Port Adelaide predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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