Melbourne vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 7, 2025
Apr 22, 2025, 3:16AM
Melbourne will face Richmond in AFL Round 7 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, starting at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Melbourne vs Richmond game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Melbourne vs Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Demons a 75% chance of winning against the Tigers in Round 7 of the 2025 AFL season.
Melbourne vs Richmond: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Melbourne $1.27, Richmond $3.85
- Line: Melbourne -23.5 ($1.91), Richmond +23.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 175.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Melbourne at $1.27 and Richmond at $3.85.
The Demons are 23.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Tigers (+23.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 175.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+23.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 175.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Melbourne vs Richmond: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Richmond at $3.85 with Bet365
- Line: Richmond +23.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 175.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
Our Melbourne vs Richmond betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and gambling expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Demons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Melbourne vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Melbourne vs Richmond at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Thursday is Melbourne winning 96-77.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Melbourne vs Richmond match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Melbourne vs Richmond match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Melbourne vs Richmond: Essential Details
The AFL Round 7 clash between the Demons and Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Melbourne vs Richmond
- Date: Thursday 24 April 2025
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Melbourne vs Richmond predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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