Melbourne vs West Coast Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2024
Last updated: Jul 7, 2024, 3:02AM | Published: Jun 30, 2024, 11:11PM
Melbourne will take on West Coast in AFL Round 17 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, beginning at 1:10pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Melbourne vs West Coast game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Melbourne vs West Coast
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Melbourne-West Coast AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Demons an 85% chance of winning against the Eagles in Round 17 of the 2024 AFL season.
Melbourne vs West Coast: Odds
The current betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Melbourne $1.16, West Coast $6.80
- Line: Melbourne -32.5 ($2.00), West Coast +32.5 ($1.94)
- Total (Over/Under 163.5 Points): Over $1.98, Under $2.00
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change. Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Melbourne at $1.16 and West Coast at $6.80.
The Demons are 32.5-point favourites against the Eagles, with odds of $2.00 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Eagles (+32.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.94.
The over/under for Melbourne vs West Coast is set at 163.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.98 and odds for the under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Eagles (+32.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 163.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Game
Melbourne vs West Coast: Best Bets
- Head to Head: West Coast at $6.80 with Betfair (0.3% edge)
- Line: West Coast +32.5 at $1.94 with Betfair (55% probability)
- Total Points: Under 163.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (50% probability)
Our Melbourne vs West Coast best bets are based on market-leading modelling and betting experience to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Demons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Eagles to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Melbourne vs West Coast: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Melbourne vs West Coast at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Sunday has Melbourne prevailing 95-67.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Melbourne vs West Coast on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Melbourne vs West Coast: Goal Scorers
Looking for Melbourne vs West Coast goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Melbourne's Bayley Fritsch is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Melbourne vs West Coast.
Fritsch has a 7.3% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Demons star has an 87.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 7.3% probability
- Jake Melksham: 6.7% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 6.0% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 5.5% probability
- Daniel Turner: 3.4% probability
West Coast
- Oscar Allen: 5.1% probability
- Jake Waterman: 4.4% probability
- Jamie Cripps: 4.3% probability
- Jack Darling: 4.1% probability
- Liam Ryan: 3.3% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 87.8% probability
- Jake Melksham: 84.3% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 82.4% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 80.1% probability
- Daniel Turner: 61.5% probability
West Coast
- Oscar Allen: 74.1% probability
- Jake Waterman: 67.5% probability
- Jamie Cripps: 66.6% probability
- Jack Darling: 66.5% probability
- Liam Ryan: 59.9% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Melbourne vs West Coast match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Melbourne vs West Coast: Preview
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Demons and Eagles at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 1:10pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Melbourne vs West Coast
- Date: Sunday 7 July 2024
- Time: 1:10pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our Melbourne vs West Coast predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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