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Mets vs Phillies Prediction and MLB Tips - 23 April 2025

The New York Mets will sqaure off with the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at Citi Field on Wednesday, beginning at 9:10am AEST.

Griffin Canning (2-1, 3.43 ERA) will start for the Mets, up against Cristopher Sánchez (2-0, 2.96 ERA) for the Phillies.

This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Mets vs Phillies game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NY Mets vs Philadelphia MLB game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 53% chance of winning against the Mets at Citi Field.

Mets vs Phillies: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Mets $2.15, Phillies $1.74
  • Line: Mets +1.5 ($1.67), Phillies -1.5 ($2.25)
  • Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $2.15 and the Phillies at $1.74.

The Mets are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Phillies, with odds of $1.67 available at TAB.

For the favourite Phillies (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.25.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Mets (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.

Mets vs Phillies: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: NY Mets at $2.15 with TAB
  • Line: Mets +1.5 at $1.67 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 8 at $1.91 with TAB

Our Mets vs Phillies best bets are based on market-leading modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Mets to win is our recommended option because of the 2.1% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable punter in the long run.

Mets vs Phillies: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs Philadelphia game on Wednesday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs Philadelphia game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Mets vs Phillies: Essential Details

The game between the Mets and Phillies at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 9:10am AEST on Wednesday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our NY Mets vs Philadelphia predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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