Mexico vs Poland World Cup 2022 Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
Nov 20, 2022, 7:09PM
Mexico faces Poland in Group C of the FIFA World Cup 2022 at Stadium 974 in Qatar on Wednesday, starting at 3:00am AEDT.
The FIFA World Cup is one of the biggest sporting events in the world, and Poland and Mexico are two of the 32 countries competing for the title in Qatar this year.
Group C at the 2022 World Cup includes Argentina, Saudi Arabia, Mexico, and Poland. The top two countries from each group go through to the knockout phase.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Mexico vs Poland, plus the latest betting odds via Betfair, are featured in this article.
Who will win? Mexico vs Poland
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Wednesday's Mexico-Poland World Cup 2022 match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives Mexico a 38.4% chance of winning, Poland a 33.8% chance of winning, and the draw a 27.8% chance of occurring.
More: Mexico vs Poland Simulated 10K Times
Mexico vs Poland World Cup Odds
- Result: Mexico $2.58, Poland $3.30, Draw $3.20
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over $2.48, Under $1.66
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Betfair currently has Mexico's odds to win at $2.58, with Poland's odds to win at $3.30, and odds for the draw at $3.20 if you think the game will be even after 90 minutes.
For Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Poland vs Mexico game, Betfair currently has odds for the Over at $2.48 and the Under at $1.66.
According to Stats Insider's model, the 2.5-goal Over/Under has a 58% chance of staying Under.
Mexico vs Poland Betting Tips
- Result: Poland at $3.30 with Betfair (3.5% edge)
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 at $2.48 with Betfair (2.1% edge)
Stats Insider's predictions are based on market-leading modelling and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Betting on Poland to win is our recommended option because of the 3.5% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 2.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.48) that are available from Betfair.
For the top betting value throughout the Qatar World Cup, we recommend betting with Betfair.
Mexico vs Poland Best Bets
Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Poland vs Mexico at the 2022 World Cup, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Poland vs Mexico Goalscorers
Who will score a goal in Poland vs Mexico? The latest data is in.
The most likely first goal scorer and most likely anytime goal scorers for both Poland and Mexico are listed below.
According to Stats Insider, Robert Lewandowski is the most likely player to score the first goal in Poland vs Mexico.
Lewandowski has a 15.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Stadium 974, while the Poland star has a 35.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Probabilities
Poland
- Robert Lewandowski: 15.8% probability
- Piotr Zieliński: 6.0% probability
- Sebastian Szymański: 5.8% probability
- Matty Cash: 2.8% probability
- Grzegorz Krychowiak: 2.8% probability
Mexico
- Rogelio Mori: 11.4% probability
- Hirving Lozano: 9.5% probability
- Alexis Vega: 8.0% probability
- Héctor Herrera: 3.0% probability
- Carlos Rodríguez: 2.1% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities
Poland
- Robert Lewandowski: 35.1% probability
- Piotr Zieliński: 14.5% probability
- Sebastian Szymański: 13.5% probability
- Grzegorz Krychowiak: 7.1% probability
- Matty Cash: 6.7% probability
Mexico
- Rogelio Mori: 26.2% probability
- Hirving Lozano: 21.6% probability
- Alexis Vega: 19.1% probability
- Héctor Herrera: 7.5% probability
- Luis Chávez: 4.6% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest expert tips before the Poland vs Mexico game at Stadium 974.
As always, check out our Value Summary to get the best tips on every World Cup 2022 match, plus a host of other sports that Stats Insider offers predictions on.
How to Watch Mexico vs Poland World Cup 2022 in Australia
Wednesday's soccer World Cup game between Mexico and Poland at Stadium 974 in Qatar is scheduled to start at 3:00am AEDT on Wednesday.
- Game: Mexico vs Poland
- Date: Wednesday 23 November 2022
- Time: 3:00am AEDT
- Channel: Live and free on SBS and SBS On Demand
All dates and times in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
More About World Cup 2022
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