Morocco vs Spain World Cup 2022 Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
Dec 6, 2022, 10:32AM
Morocco plays Spain in the round of 16 of the FIFA World Cup 2022 at Education City Stadium in Qatar on Wednesday, beginning at 2:00am AEDT.
The FIFA World Cup, held every four years, is the greatest soccer event on the planet. The winner of the match between Spain and Morocco will advance to the quarter-finals in Qatar.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Morocco vs Spain, plus the latest betting odds via Betfair, are detailed in this article.
Who will win? Morocco vs Spain
Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Wednesday's Morocco-Spain World Cup 2022 game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives Morocco a 17.9% chance of winning, Spain a 58.1% chance of winning, and the draw a 24.1% chance of happening.
More: Morocco vs Spain Simulated 10,000 Times
Morocco vs Spain Best Odds
- Result: Morocco $6.60, Spain $1.66, Draw $4.00
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over $2.28, Under $1.76
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Betfair currently has Morocco's odds to win at $6.60, with Spain's odds to win at $1.66, and odds for the draw at $4.00 if you think the game will be tied up after 90 minutes.
For Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Spain vs Morocco match, Betfair currently has odds for the Over at $2.28 and the Under at $1.76.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the 2.5-goal Over/Under has a 55% chance of staying Under.
Morocco vs Spain Betting Tips
- Result: Morocco at $6.60 with Betfair (2.7% edge)
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 at $2.28 with Betfair (1.4% edge)
Stats Insider's predictions are based on complex simulations and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Betting on Morocco to win is our preferred option due to the 2.7% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 2.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.28) that are available from Betfair.
For the top betting value throughout the FIFA World Cup 2022, we recommend betting with Betfair.
Morocco vs Spain Best Bets
Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Spain vs Morocco at the 2022 World Cup, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Spain vs Morocco Goalscorers
Who will score a goal in Spain vs Morocco? The data is in.
The most likely first goal scorer and most likely anytime goal scorers for both Spain and Morocco are listed below.
According to Stats Insider, Álvaro Morata is the most likely player to score the first goal in Spain vs Morocco.
Morata has a 22.0% chance of scoring the first goal at Education City Stadium, while the Spain star has a 46.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Probabilities
Spain
- Álvaro Morata: 22.0% probability
- Álvaro Morata: 20.8% probability
- Álvaro Morata: 17.7% probability
- Ferran Torres: 17.1% probability
- Pablo Sarabia: 16.8% probability
Morocco
- Youssef En-Nesyri: 10.7% probability
- Hakim Ziyech: 10.4% probability
- Hakim Ziyech: 7.4% probability
- Sofiane Boufal: 7.2% probability
- Youssef En-Nesyri: 6.8% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities
Spain
- Álvaro Morata: 46.6% probability
- Álvaro Morata: 45.3% probability
- Ferran Torres: 38.9% probability
- Álvaro Morata: 37.6% probability
- Pablo Sarabia: 37.5% probability
Morocco
- Hakim Ziyech: 25.4% probability
- Youssef En-Nesyri: 25.4% probability
- Sofiane Boufal: 18.4% probability
- Youssef En-Nesyri: 17.0% probability
- Hakim Ziyech: 17.0% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest expert tips before the Spain vs Morocco game at Education City Stadium.
As always, see our Value Summary to get the best tips on every World Cup 2022 game, plus a host of other sports that Stats Insider offers predictions on.
How to Watch Morocco vs Spain World Cup 2022 in Australia
Wednesday's FIFA World Cup matchup between Morocco and Spain at Education City Stadium in Qatar is scheduled to begin at 2:00am AEDT on Wednesday.
- Game: Morocco vs Spain
- Date: Wednesday 7 December 2022
- Time: 2:00am AEDT
- Channel: Live and free on SBS and SBS On Demand
All dates and times in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
More About World Cup 2022
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the World Cup 2022, with the latest World Cup 2022 betting news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game and futures odds for the World Cup 2022.
Looking to use this free information and start betting on the World Cup 2022? Betfair has the best range of markets for the World Cup 2022.
