NBA Betting Preview: Day 23

The success of the NBA Betting Preview continued on Day 22, as we went 2-0 thanks to Atlanta covering by half a point (!) and Dallas took care of business against Washington, winning easily against the struggling Wizards.

Onto Day 23, with a delicious ten game slate to feast upon. On today's menu, New York heads to Atlanta, Indiana hosts Philadelphia and the red-hot Denver Nuggets come to town to take on the Memphis Grizzlies.

Please note: these are Expert Predictions, not predictions by our NBA Model. For those, you can visit our NBA Hub.

New York @ Atlanta

Atlanta will have to back up from a tough loss against Charlotte yesterday, with a back to back against the New York Knicks. Dave Fizdale's men have stumbled out of the gate with a 3-8 record, whilst Lloyd Pierce's Hawks are only one loss better off at 3-7.

An intriguing battle looms for Atlanta's Trae Young, who will match up against the Knicks' Frank Ntilikina, and that battle will go a long way to deciding who wins this one.

Key Stats and Trends: the Knicks have struggled, but 3-2 ATS on the road is a respectable record for an average team. Overall, they're 6-4-1 ATS this season.

Meanwhile, Atlanta is 28th in the NBA in Offensive Rating, only posting a meek 101.9 points per 100 possessions. Their Defensive Rating isn't much better, leaking 110.2 points per 100. There aren't too many differences between these teams, but the Net Rating (-3.0 for NYK and -8.4 for ATL) is enough for me. Take the Knicks.

Key Play: New York -1

Philadelphia @ Indiana

A Jekyll-and-Hyde Philadelphia outfit travels to Indiana to take on Victor Oladipo's Pacers, who have plenty of reasons to be optimistic about their start to the season at 7-4.

Philly has been inconsistent to say the least, and has a lot to prove particularly on the road. The losses of Ersan Ilyasova and Marco Bellinelli have hurt, and a lack of shooting is killing their spacing right now.

Key Stats and Trends: the Sixers inconsistency has killed them on the road this season, where they are not only 0-5 but 0-5 ATS in those games. Their Offensive Rating is 24th in the NBA at 105.3 points per 100, which gets even worse (99.8 points per 100, 29th) on the road. Their road defense isn't any better, leaking an abysmal 114.2 points per 100 (25th).

Indiana are 3-2 at home this season, and 3-2 ATS. What really gives me confidence though is their Offensive Rating (110.7 points per 100) and Defensive Rating (105.8 points per 100). All the form points to the Pacers, don't ignore it.

Key Play: Indiana -2.5

Denver @ Memphis

What might be the form team of the entire NBA in the Denver Nuggets heads to Memphis for a Western Conference battle against the Grizzlies, as Denver tries to keep their very impressive start to the season going.

Memphis will look to shrug off their loss to Golden State last time out, as a late barrage blew them out of the game.

Key Stats and Trends: we're going a bit different about things today, as I see evidence of a reason not to necessarily follow a trend. Denver are 3-7 on the Over/Under this season, including 1-3 on the road. The Grizzlies meanwhile are 2-1 O/U at home.

Denver's offense is finding it's feet after a surprisingly slow start, working their way up to 9th in the NBA at 111.1 points per 100. The Grizzlies offense has been magnificent at home, ranked 2nd in the NBA at 117.9 points per 100. Count on that, and this one will go Over.

Key Play: Over 204.5 Points

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