NBA Betting Tips Today [Thursday 14/12/2023]
Last updated: Dec 14, 2023, 4:31AM | Published: Dec 13, 2023, 5:02AM
The best NBA betting tips for Friday's action have been released.
Led by its expert team of data analysts, Stats Insider has conducted 10,000 simulations of every one of Friday's NBA matches to generate reliable probabilities, which we then compared to the odds to find the best NBA bets for punters across Australia.
Each one of our suggested bets for Friday's NBA come straight from the renowned NBA Value Bets page on Stats Insider.
NBA Friday [15/12]
After crunching the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations of today's NBA matches, our independent computer model has determined the best basketball bets to make with Australian bookies on Friday December 15, 2023.
Today's NBA betting tips feature Mavericks vs Timberwolves and Kings vs Thunder, with our advanced predictive model working around the clock to detect valuable edges.
Mavericks H2H vs Timberwolves ($1.75)
- Odds: $1.75 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.68
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 59.6%
- Match: Mavericks vs Timberwolves (Friday, 12:30PM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet to make today, focusing on the match between the Mavericks and Timberwolves. We recommend placing a head-to-head bet on Mavericks to win, currently offered at odds of $1.75 at TAB. We have found a significant edge of 4.9% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA bet of the day.
MORE: NBA Value Bets Today
Kings vs Thunder Under 242 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.82
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 54.8%
- Matchup: Kings vs Thunder (Friday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet, specifically in the game featuring the Kings and Thunder. We recommend considering an over/under wager on Under 242 Points, available at $1.91 odds through TAB. We have found a compelling edge of 4.8% for this particular bet.
Kings H2H vs Thunder ($1.82)
- Odds: $1.82 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.76
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 56.7%
- Matchup: Kings vs Thunder (Friday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Another top tip for today's basketball action comes from the game between the Kings and Thunder. The play here is a head-to-head bet, with Kings to win at enticing odds of $1.82 through TAB. Our model has found an advantageous edge of 3.9% for this particular wager.
Mavericks vs Timberwolves Under 229.5 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.87
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 53.6%
- Match: Mavericks vs Timberwolves (Friday, 12:30PM AEDT)
Our next edge stems from the game between the Mavericks and Timberwolves. The play here is an over/under bet on the Under 229.5 Points, currently available at $1.91 odds through TAB. Our model has detected a noteworthy 3.6% edge for this particular bet.
Heat H2H vs Bulls ($1.43)
- Odds: $1.43 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.42
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 70.2%
- Matchup: Heat vs. Bulls (Friday, 11:30AM AEDT)
Next up, we're looking at the Heat vs. Bulls matchup. Our model has its eyes on Heat to win, coming in at $1.43 odds. When comparing the best available head-to-head odds at TAB to our probabilities, we're talking about a tasty 3.3% edge here.
NBA Best Bets for Friday 15/12
- Mavericks vs Timberwolves: Mavericks to win ($1.75 at TAB, 4.9% edge)
- Kings vs Thunder: Under 242 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 4.8% edge)
- Kings vs Thunder: Kings to win ($1.82 at TAB, 3.9% edge)
- Mavericks vs Timberwolves: Under 229.5 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 3.6% edge)
- Heat vs Bulls: Heat to win ($1.43 at TAB, 3.3% edge)
MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NBA Games to Bet on Today [December 15, 2023]
- Bulls vs Heat (Friday, 11:30AM)
- Cavaliers vs Celtics (Friday, 11:30AM)
- Timberwolves vs Mavericks (Friday, 12:30PM)
- Nets vs Nuggets (Friday, 1:00PM)
- Jazz vs Trail Blazers (Friday, 2:00PM)
- Thunder vs Kings (Friday, 2:00PM)
- Warriors vs Clippers (Friday, 2:30PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to present what our model thinks are the right odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we'll say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is the same as fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we suggest a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions Today [15/12]
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NBA tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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