NBA Betting Tips Today [Tuesday 28/11/2023]
Last updated: Nov 28, 2023, 4:30AM | Published: Nov 27, 2023, 5:00AM
The best NBA betting tips for Wednesday's action have been revealed.
Led by its expert team of data analysts, Stats Insider has conducted 10,000 simulations of every one of Wednesday's NBA matches to generate reliable probabilities. These probabilities are then compared to the odds to find the best NBA bets for punters across Australia.
Each one of the suggested bets for Wednesday's NBA come straight from the renowned NBA Best Bets page on Stats Insider.
NBA Wednesday [29/11]
After diving deep into the numbers and running thousands of simulations of today's NBA games, our leading computer model has found the best basketball bets to make in Australia on Wednesday November 29, 2023.
Today's NBA betting tips are led by Mavericks vs Rockets and Heat vs Bucks, with our advanced predictive model carefully striving to detect valuable edges.
Mavericks H2H vs Rockets ($1.48)
- Odds: $1.48 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.43
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 70%
- Match: Mavericks vs Rockets (Wednesday, 12:30PM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet to make today, focusing on the match between the Mavericks and Rockets. We recommend placing a head-to-head bet on Mavericks to win, currently offered at odds of $1.48 at TAB. We have found a significant edge of 5.4% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA bet of the day.
MORE: NBA Value Bets Today
Bucks H2H vs Heat ($1.67)
- Odds: $1.67 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.60
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 62.4%
- Matchup: Heat vs Bucks (Wednesday, 11:30AM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet, specifically in the matchup featuring the Heat and Bucks. We recommend considering a head-to-head wager on Bucks to win, available at $1.67 odds through TAB. We have found a compelling edge of 5.0% for this particular bet.
Bulls +13 vs Celtics ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.83
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 54.7%
- Matchup: Celtics vs Bulls (Wednesday, 11:30AM AEDT)
Another top tip for today's basketball action comes from the game between the Celtics and Bulls. The play here is a line bet, with Bulls +13 at enticing odds of $1.91 through TAB. Our model has identified an advantageous edge of 4.7% for this particular wager.
Hornets +11.5 vs Knicks ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.83
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 54.5%
- Match: Knicks vs Hornets (Wednesday, 11:30AM AEDT)
Our next betting tip stems from the game between the Knicks and Hornets. The play here is a line bet on the Hornets +11.5, currently available at $1.91 odds through TAB. Our model has found a noteworthy 4.5% edge for this particular bet.
Kings vs Warriors Under 238.5 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.86
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 53.8%
- Matchup: Kings vs. Warriors (Wednesday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Next up, we're looking at the Kings vs. Warriors game. Our model has its eyes on Under 238.5 Points, coming in at $1.91 odds. When comparing the best available over/under odds at TAB to our probabilities, we're talking about a tasty 3.8% edge here.
NBA Best Bets for Wednesday 29/11
- Mavericks vs Rockets: Mavericks to win ($1.48 at TAB, 5.4% edge)
- Heat vs Bucks: Bucks to win ($1.67 at TAB, 5.0% edge)
- Celtics vs Bulls: Bulls +13 ($1.91 at TAB, 4.7% edge)
- Knicks vs Hornets: Hornets +11.5 ($1.91 at TAB, 4.5% edge)
- Kings vs Warriors: Under 238.5 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 3.8% edge)
MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NBA Games to Bet on Today [November 29, 2023]
- Raptors vs Nets (Wednesday, 11:30AM)
- Hornets vs Knicks (Wednesday, 11:30AM)
- Hawks vs Cavaliers (Wednesday, 11:30AM)
- Bulls vs Celtics (Wednesday, 11:30AM)
- Bucks vs Heat (Wednesday, 11:30AM)
- Thunder vs Timberwolves (Wednesday, 12:00PM)
- Rockets vs Mavericks (Wednesday, 12:30PM)
- Warriors vs Kings (Wednesday, 2:00PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to present what our model believes are the right odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we'll say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is equivalent to fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be suggested at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we suggest a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions Today [29/11]
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NBA tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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