NFL Betting Tips and Odds for , 2023
Last updated: Oct 12, 2023, 2:30AM | Published: Oct 11, 2023, 10:31PM
The best NFL betting tips for Week 6 of the 2023 NFL season have been unveiled.
Led by its expert team of data analysts, Stats Insider has conducted 10,000 simulations of each NFL Week 6 match to generate accurate probabilities. These probabilities are then compared to the odds to find the best NFL bets for punters across the nation.
Each one of the recommended bets for of the NFL season come straight from the renowned NFL Best Bets page on Stats Insider.
NFL Betting Tips: Week 6, 2023
After crunching the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations of this week's NFL matches, our famous computer model has determined the best American footballbets for you in Week 6, 2023.
After simulating all of the NFL Round 6 action, our model has found the best bet to make right now, which comes in the Chiefs vs Broncos matchup. Scroll down to see the bet, ensuring you can get in on the action before any change to the line or the odds.
Chiefs vs Broncos Under 47 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.80
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 55.6%
- Match: Chiefs vs Broncos (Friday, 11:15AM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NFL bet to make this week, focusing on the matchup between the Chiefs and Broncos. We recommend placing an over/under bet on Under 47 Points, currently offered at odds of $1.91 at TAB. We have detected a significant edge of 5.6% for this particular wager, which makes it our NFL bet of the round. MORE: NFL Value Bets Today
NFL Best Bets for Round 6, 2023
- Chiefs vs Broncos: Under 47 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 5.6% edge)
MORE: Every NFL Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NFL Week 6 Games to Bet on This Week
- Broncos vs Chiefs (Friday, 11:15AM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to present what our model thinks are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we'll say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is equivalent to fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be suggested at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we suggest a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NFL tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
