NFL Betting Tips and Odds for Week 10, 2023
Nov 12, 2023, 5:02AM
The best NFL betting tips for Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season have been revealed.
Led by its expert team of data analysts, Stats Insider has run 10,000 simulations of every NFL Week 10 game to generate accurate probabilities, which we then compared to the odds to find the best NFL bets for punters all over the nation.
Each one of our suggested bets for Week 10 of the NFL season come straight from the renowned NFL Value Bets page on Stats Insider.
NFL Betting Tips: Week 10, 2023
After diving deep into the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations of this week's NFL matches, our independent computer model has found the best American football bets for Week 10, 2023.
This week's NFL betting tips feature multiple bets from the Cardinals vs Falcons game, with our advanced predictive model carefully striving to detect valuable edges.
Falcons -1.5 vs Cardinals ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.67
- Edge: 9.9%
- Probability: 59.9%
- Match: Cardinals vs Falcons (Monday, 8:05AM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NFL bet to make this week, focusing on the match between the Cardinals and Falcons. We recommend placing a line bet on Falcons -1.5, currently offered at odds of $1.91 at TAB. We have found a significant edge of 9.9% for this particular wager, which makes it our NFL bet of the round.
MORE: NFL Value Bets Today
Falcons H2H vs Cardinals ($1.79)
- Odds: $1.79 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.60
- Edge: 9.2%
- Probability: 62.6%
- Matchup: Cardinals vs Falcons (Monday, 8:05AM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NFL bet, again in the game featuring the Cardinals and Falcons. We recommend considering a head-to-head wager on Falcons to win, available at $1.79 odds through TAB. We have detected a compelling edge of 9.2% for this particular bet.
Jets H2H vs Raiders ($1.88)
- Odds: $1.88 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.68
- Edge: 8.5%
- Probability: 59.4%
- Matchup: Raiders vs Jets (Monday, 12:20PM AEDT)
Another top tip for this week's American football action comes from the game between the Raiders and Jets. The play here is a head-to-head bet, with Jets to win at enticing odds of $1.88 through TAB. Our model has identified an advantageous edge of 8.5% for this particular wager.
Colts H2H vs Patriots ($1.78)
- Odds: $1.78 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.61
- Edge: 8.2%
- Probability: 62.1%
- Match: Patriots vs Colts (Monday, 1:30AM AEDT)
Our next betting tip for Round 10 of the NFL season stems from the game between the Patriots and Colts. The play here is a head-to-head bet on the Colts to win, currently available at $1.78 odds through TAB. Our model has detected a noteworthy 8.2% edge for this particular bet.
Colts -2.0 vs Patriots ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.72
- Edge: 8.2%
- Probability: 58.2%
- Matchup: Patriots vs. Colts (Monday, 1:30AM AEDT)
Next up, we're looking at the Patriots vs. Colts game. Our model has its eyes on Colts 0, coming in at $1.91 odds. When comparing the best available line odds at TAB to our probabilities, punters are getting a tasty 8.2% edge here.
NFL Best Bets for Week 10, 2023
- Cardinals vs Falcons: Falcons -1.5 ($1.91 at TAB, 9.9% edge)
- Cardinals vs Falcons: Falcons to win ($1.79 at TAB, 9.2% edge)
- Raiders vs Jets: Jets to win ($1.88 at TAB, 8.5% edge)
- Patriots vs Colts: Colts to win ($1.78 at TAB, 8.2% edge)
- Patriots vs Colts: Colts -2.0 ($1.91 at TAB, 8.2% edge)
MORE: Every NFL Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NFL Week 10 Games to Bet on This Week
- Colts vs Patriots (Monday, 1:30AM)
- Packers vs Steelers (Monday, 5:00AM)
- Saints vs Vikings (Monday, 5:00AM)
- Texans vs Bengals (Monday, 5:00AM)
- Browns vs Ravens (Monday, 5:00AM)
- Titans vs Buccaneers (Monday, 5:00AM)
- 49ers vs Jaguars (Monday, 5:00AM)
- Lions vs Chargers (Monday, 8:05AM)
- Falcons vs Cardinals (Monday, 8:05AM)
- Commanders vs Seahawks (Monday, 8:25AM)
- Giants vs Cowboys (Monday, 8:25AM)
- Jets vs Raiders (Monday, 12:20PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to show what our model believes are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we will say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is the same as fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we suggest a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Informed NFL Betting Decisions
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If you decide to use our NFL tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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