NFL Betting Tips and Odds for Week 13, 2023
Last updated: Dec 3, 2023, 5:02AM | Published: Dec 3, 2023, 5:02AM
The best NFL betting tips for Week 13 of the 2023 NFL season have been unveiled.
Led by its expert team of data analysts, Stats Insider has conducted 10,000 simulations of each NFL Week 13 game to generate reliable probabilities. These probabilities are then compared to the odds to find the best NFL bets for punters all over the nation.
All of our recommended bets for Week 13 of the NFL season come straight from the popular NFL Best Bets page on Stats Insider.
NFL Betting Tips: Week 13, 2023
After crunching the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations of this week's NFL games, our famous computer model has determined the best American football bets for you in Week 13, 2023.
This week's NFL betting tips feature multiple bets from the Jets vs Falcons game, with our advanced predictive model working around the clock to detect valuable edges.
Falcons H2H vs Jets ($1.70)
- Odds: $1.70 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.51
- Edge: 9.9%
- Probability: 66.2%
- Match: Jets vs Falcons (Monday, 5:00AM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NFL bet to make this week, focusing on the game between the Jets and Falcons. We recommend placing a head-to-head bet on Falcons to win, currently offered at odds of $1.70 at TAB. We have detected a significant edge of 9.9% for this particular wager, which makes it our NFL bet of the round.
MORE: NFL Value Bets Today
Falcons -2.0 vs Jets ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.72
- Edge: 8.2%
- Probability: 58.2%
- Matchup: Jets vs Falcons (Monday, 5:00AM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NFL bet, again in the game featuring the Jets and Falcons. We recommend considering a line wager on Falcons -2.0, available at $1.91 odds through TAB. We have detected a compelling edge of 8.2% for this particular bet.
West Coast +3 vs 49ers ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.77
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 56.5%
- Matchup: Eagles vs 49ers (Monday, 8:25AM AEDT)
Another top tip for this week's American football action comes from the matchup between the Eagles and 49ers. The play here is a line bet, with Eagles +3 at enticing odds of $1.91 through TAB. Our model has detected an advantageous edge of 6.5% for this particular wager.
Buccaneers -3.5 vs Panthers ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.77
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 56.5%
- Match: Buccaneers vs Panthers (Monday, 8:05AM AEDT)
Our next bet for Round 13 of the NFL season stems from the game between the Buccaneers and Panthers. The play here is a line bet on the Buccaneers -3.5, currently available at $1.91 odds through TAB. Our model has detected a noteworthy 6.5% edge for this particular bet.
Chargers H2H vs Patriots ($1.40)
- Odds: $1.40 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.34
- Edge: 6.1%
- Probability: 74.6%
- Matchup: Patriots vs. Chargers (Monday, 5:00AM AEDT)
Next up, we're looking at the Patriots vs. Chargers matchup. Our model has its eyes on Chargers to win, coming in at $1.40 odds. When comparing the best available head-to-head odds at TAB to our probabilities, punters are getting a tasty 6.1% edge here.
NFL Best Bets for Week 13, 2023
- Jets vs Falcons: Falcons to win ($1.70 at TAB, 9.9% edge)
- Jets vs Falcons: Falcons -2.0 ($1.91 at TAB, 8.2% edge)
- Eagles vs 49ers: Eagles +3 ($1.91 at TAB, 6.5% edge)
- Buccaneers vs Panthers: Buccaneers -3.5 ($1.91 at TAB, 6.5% edge)
- Patriots vs Chargers: Chargers to win ($1.40 at TAB, 6.1% edge)
MORE: Every NFL Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NFL Week 13 Games to Bet on This Week
- Broncos vs Texans (Monday, 5:00AM)
- Dolphins vs Commanders (Monday, 5:00AM)
- Colts vs Titans (Monday, 5:00AM)
- Falcons vs Jets (Monday, 5:00AM)
- Cardinals vs Steelers (Monday, 5:00AM)
- Lions vs Saints (Monday, 5:00AM)
- Chargers vs Patriots (Monday, 5:00AM)
- Panthers vs Buccaneers (Monday, 8:05AM)
- 49ers vs Eagles (Monday, 8:25AM)
- Browns vs Rams (Monday, 8:25AM)
- Chiefs vs Packers (Monday, 12:20PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to show what our model believes are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we'll say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is the same as fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because we think the odds should be shorter.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we suggest a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions
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If you decide to use our NFL tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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